First day post Hazelwood – Tassie Hydro props up Eastern electricity grid

Comments starting with Qld (grid “strongman” now) and during an eastern wind drought. Generation by Nemwatch – Price and Demand from AEMO. For bigger Nemwatch chart

QLD demand 6,042MW with generation 6,959MW running a modest surplus in view all grids need some spinning reserve.
NSW demand 8,306MW with generation 7,686MW running a surprising deficit. Must be maxing imports from Qld.
Vic demand 5,373MW with generation 5,328MW small deficit should have spinning reserve. I have never seen Vic in deficit in a year or more watching.
SA demand 1,525MW with generation 1,323MW running a deficit – must be importing from Vic.
Tas demand 1,277MW with generation 1,902MW running a big surplus – Basslink must be humming at near max 600MW feeding power to SA, NSW and Vic.
For months Vic has been the lynchpin State exporting as required to NSW, SA and Tas. Verily our politicians have wrought harm to our electricity system.
Latest AEMO “wholesale price” chart up to Hazelwood closing. Larger version.

Added 3 Apr – This is an interesting AEMO page too – gives a graphical presentation of flows between States. I have not worked out what the red and pale blue signify – on the labels with arrows showing flow between States.

South Australia turns back to fossil fuel

Faced with the need to strengthen their electricity grid the South Australian Labor Government proposes to build and own a $360million 250MW gas turbine generator. When disaster strikes – who do you call? The ABC quotes Premier Weatherill making conflicting statements in his confusion.
Quote 1 – “We will supply the nation — coal-rich states like Queensland and New South Wales will be relying upon the clean, green power that we are developing here in SA.”
Quote 2 – “….making sure that SA power is reserved for South Australians,” he said.”

NIWA 3 month Outlook destroyed inside two weeks

Just as useless as our BoM – the NIWA March to May Outlook issued 1st March wrecked by heavy rain they never saw coming. They said –
Regional predictions for the March – May 2017 season
Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Bay of Plenty
Rainfall totals are about equally likely to be in the near normal (35% chance) or below normal range (40% chance).

The MetService shows that both Auckland and Hamilton had useful rain starting last Tuesday 7th March.

Govt politicians discovers gas shortage this blog talked about 30 months ago

In August 2014 I blogged – “Commonwealth Govt thinking about solving looming Sydney gas shortage with ~2,000 kms of pipeline connecting to North West Shelf”
Two days ago I blogged – “Australia fails again as NT to Qld gas pipeline stymied”
Now the ABC reports on the AEMO concerns – “Gas supply shortage will threaten nation’s power supplies, AEMO forecasts”. PM Turnbull and Energy Minister Frydenberg have been talking the issue all over TV news but I have heard no mention of keeping Hazelwood open. A most basic and feasible step to take.

Australia fails again as NT to Qld gas pipeline stymied

Land dispute sends Jemena Northern Gas Pipeline back to negotiating table says ABC on 7 March 17 – we know without reading what sort of “land dispute”.
In 2014 I wrote –
Commonwealth Govt thinking about solving looming Sydney gas shortage with ~2,000 kms of pipeline connecting to North West Shelf
Then in 2015 –
NT Govt planning a gas pipeline to Eastern States by 2019
AEMO has a map showing both gas pipelines and electricity grids