Solar Update March 2014 by David Archibald With Solar Cycle 24 maximum in March 2013 (see the heliospheric current sheet tilt angle in Figure 5 below) and a one year lag between solar activity and neutron count, we have probably seen the minimum neutron count for this cycle. The minimum count is well above the [...]
NOAA NASA SWO sunspot number way highest for the cycle – Current number from Solar Influences Data analysis Center – RWC Belgium – Royal Observatory of Belgium – for the RI sunspot data. Solarham pages with current data on our sun – Jan Alvestad – incl current month progress.
SWO numbers updated now. NOAA NASA SWO sunspot numbers data Solar Influences Data analysis Center – Royal Observatory of Belgium – for the RI sunspot data Solarham pages with current data on our sun
Adds to likelihood that the solar max for cycle 24 has passed. SWO data – RI data -
That “second max” peak did not last long. Both SWO and RI indices record a solid pullback. My page a month ago. From here it looks like a slide towards the next solar minimum – NASA/NOAA say in this chart it will not be before ~2020. An earlier minimum would not amaze me.
Confirming the “rabbit ears” shape for Solar Cycle 24. Interesting that the SWO minus RI difference is now 46.8 whereas at the peak of the first “rabbit ear” in Nov 2011 SWO minus RI was only 36.4.
There have been reports on increased sunspot activity in April and the Cycle 24 peak has been widely predicted to be in the next few months. The RI number just out from Solar Influences Data analysis Center – RWC Belgium – Royal Observatory of Belgium is a tad below what I was expecting. The chart [...]
A reader sent me this priceless NASA prediction of a “…30% to 50% stronger…” Solar Cycle 24. A timely reminder of how wrong these highly paid experts and huge taxpayer funded organizations can be. Somebody might have a URL to a chart showing the several NOAA/NASA failed predictions of the last half decade. Readers can [...]
Experienced solar observers have been predicting the solar max for Cycle 24 will be around May this year. That may turn out what happens and we have a “rabbit ears” pattern formed. Time will tell but just now who would bet on it ? My earlier posts on Cycle 24 which extend back to late [...]
Anthony Watts has the story that the latest IPCC Second Order Draft of AR5 (the next IPCC report), Working Group 1 (“The Scientific Basis”) acknowledges strong evidence for solar forcing beyond total solar irradiance (TSI) This quote from AR5 – “The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for [...]