Category Archives: Solar

CV depression compared with Great Frost of 1709

This illuminates what is at stake as the GreenLeft fight to prevent a return to a pre-Covid-19 economy.
Great Frost 1709: why experts are comparing the economic impact of coronavirus to Europe’s worst recession in history 15Apr2020 The Great Frost of 1709 was towards the end of the Little Ice Age/Maunder Minimum. The GreenLeft hate that Western economic progress is assisted slightly by minor changes to weather. So expect the GreenLeft to fight to keep CV controls and increased Govt spending.

Solar cycle 24 to 25 transition watch COVID-19 outbreak

Chart updated through Feb 2020 – the previous post has been quarantined – will see if the proponents of the pandemic correlation with sunspots cycles can come up with better statistics. Interesting new item from NY Times 2 years ago – Trillions Upon Trillions of Viruses Fall From the Sky Each Day.

Solar cycle 24 to 25 transition watch

Time to start checking month by month how the solar cycle 24 to 25 transition is proceeding.
I was intrigued by the sudden drop in SS# after July 2019 and the disparity in predictions now. The April 2019 NOAA prediction says we are still a long way from seeing a rise in SS# – yet at www.sidc.be all predictions indicate rising SS# now. SIDC main page.
For updated monthly SS numbers Google – Table of Recent Solar Indices – NOAA
For monthly SS predictions Google – SWPC Predict – NOAA
My current chart I plan to update each month.

Forbes NSW solar project canned due lack sunshine

You could not make this up! The ABC reports – Solar innovators forced to seek clearer skies than clouded pilot site of Forbes – I have mentioned the Vast Solar This super drug will kill all your worries as there is literally no difference between viagra from canada a branded and a generic ED drug. The drugs specifically target the penile region. It cannot be used by men who take nitrates or alpha-blockers for heart or ronaldgreenwaldmd.com sildenafil in canada blood pressure would be. For more than 17% of men in their twenties can have this problem viagra samples australia for various reasons. site at Jemalong near Forbes a few times over the years. In the middle of a global warming panic and drought can anybody cast light(sorry) on data showing Forbes is lacking its due sunshine?

Solar cycle 24 monthly sunspots update

It is a couple of years since I posted my chart and the predicted end of cycle 24 is being discussed. Large chart.

Checking various sunspot number graphics at SILSO we can see that solar cycle 24 which is ending has been the lowest amplitude SC since the one that peaked just before 1910 – a ~104 year record. Of course now there is discussion about when SC24 will end and I see SILSO records divergent predictions of the SC24-25 transition. I see NOAA has a prediction that SC24 might extend as late as 2021/22.
There is also discussion about the amplitude of SC25 and I see this Wiki records the predictions of several research groups. My 13month smooth on the SWO series peaks at 123.6 in Apr2014 – but I do not know what smoothing NOAA applies. So the Chinese group favours a stronger SC25 while Northumbria clearly favours weaker and Kolkata and NOAA could be having a bet each way. This press article is spruiking a stronger SC25 and mentions a NOAA workshop so I will look for results out of that. New large chart with 8Apr19 NOAA prediction out to Dec 2022. This prediction says there will be no transition to Cycle 25 before end 2022 – I should add – here is where I source my main data for the chart

Solar thermal killed again

But will it lie down? The proposed Port Augusta solar thermal power plant is a great example of public ignorance of the laws of physics on a massive scale. How the concept has polluted public energy debate for so long is amazing. I have been drawing attention to Solar Thermal problems for years because that technology obviously butts up against the laws of physics. From 2016 – then ARENA says concentrated solar thermal not viable should have laid projects to rest – the death of solar thermal at Forbes NSW – but Dr Hewson campaigns in Wentworth byelection still spruiking solar thermal. We are about to elect a GreenLeft Fed Govt and solar thermal might ride again.

Dr Hewson campaigns in Wentworth byelection

It is a shame that when Dr Hewson campaigns in the Wentworth byelection he is not asked some hard questions about the viability of solar thermal electricity generation schemes has has promoted over the years. He should also be asked about ARENA who found that concentrated solar thermal (CST) technology could be a commercially viable form of dispatchable renewable energy within a decade. English translation – NOT VIABLE NOW. Dr Hewson and Solastor have for years promoted aq model where tracking mirrors concentrate the suns rays on a graphite block generating steam to drive turbines – but despite over a decade of trials and pilot projects in Cooma and Lake Cargelligo I am not aware this system is working continuously anywhere delivering grid electricity economically? Solastor has no news for 2018 which suggests they realize their models are a fail. Vast Solar Pty Ltd(Dr Hewson has no connection I am aware of) have their long gestating solar thermal plant near Forbes that heats molten sodium but that has been sidelined in favour of a simple solar PV development. ARENA is not supporting any Port Augusta projects I can find and ditto for the Clean Energy Finance Corporation. I am keen to hear of any Govt support for concentrated solar thermal projects anywhere in Australia.

50MW Solar PV planned at Forbes NSW

This must be building on the stunning success of their Jemalong Solar Thermal project that has been gestating for at least three years. Chemical fire near Forbes burns into second day 14 June 2015
In Canberra ANU has an experimental solar thermal setup with two ~20m curved tracking mirrors near where Parkes Way crosses Sullivan creek. Aerial scene.

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ANU says – Solar Thermal Group (STG) conducts research, development and education in the field of renewable energy engineering and related thermal, chemical, materials and optical sciences. I wonder if the ANU STG has secrets that could help Vast succeed with their Solar Thermal so far non worko at Forbes? Or is ARENA closer to the truth to say “…concentrated solar thermal (CST) technology could be a commercially viable form of dispatchable renewable energy within a decade.”

ARENA says concentrated solar thermal not viable

The ABC and GreenLeft media ignoring this huge news – The Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) says concentrated solar thermal (CST) technology could be a commercially viable form of dispatchable renewable energy within a decade. English translation – not viable now.
Which raises the question how do you generate renewable 24/7 dispatchable electricity? I thought there were already CS projects building near Port Augusta. I see that ARENA requested information from existing worldwide players – I bet they keep those responses secret.
I am reminded what Terry McCrann said –
“THE first and most important thing to understand about global warming true believers and the pushers of so-called “renewable energy” is that they lie. They lie effortlessly, seamlessly, continuously and without the slightest sense of shame. They lie deliberately and carelessly and casually, and even when they don’t realise they are lying. They lie without the slightest sense of self-awareness and with all the pomposity of stupidity aforethought.”
I have not got the slightest objection to CS Projects as long as zero taxpayer funds are risked. NSW is littered with small-scale failed CS projects. Cooma, Lake Cargelligo, Jemalong near Forbes. Here are pics and links re all three.

SOI nudging away from El Nino – spotless days and Perth rain above average

Not claiming connections but all together make a blog.
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