Category Archives: IPCC

Was 2015 really the “Hottest year Ever”? – CO2 Thermometer says No

A reader reminded me of this issue and asked if I had checked the “carbon dioxide thermometer”. This concept arises from the fact that in warm years carbon dioxide outgasses from oceans into the atmosphere while in cool years the opposite takes place with carbon dioxide moving from the atmosphere into oceans.

This chart shows many correlations showing that the “carbon dioxide thermometer” is alive and well and is saying that 1998 is still the hottest year in the last four decades. So the “CO2 thermometer” says the satellites with their automated 24/7 pinging of the entire planet are to be trusted before HadCRUT4 which on land derives data mostly from ever expanding urban areas which are warming due to the urban heat island effect. In addition, temperature series such as HadCRUT4 are being adjusted cooler in earlier years thus increasing the warming trend.

Timeline around the “We have 25 or so years invested in the work.” 2005 email from Dr Phil Jones

I have just had an email saying that the Feb 2005 email from Dr Phil Jones to me saying – “We have 25 or so years invested in the work. Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it. ” – has been mentioned at Climate etc the blog by Dr Judith Curry.
This got me to wondering if I have posted anywhere the six months sequence of emails starting July 2004 that lead up to Dr Jones marvellous missive. If you click more – my warts & all text file notes are there for those interested.
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Some climate sanity after Paris COP21 blabfest

This Fig 3 from the book The Chilling Stars by Henrik Svensmark & Nigel Calder sums up 12,000 years of Holocene cosmic & solar driven “climate change” in the North Atlantic. The paper by G. Bond can be found as a pdf by googling the title -Persistent solar influence on North Atlantic climate during the holocene. The periods of iceberg armadas through the last glacial are termed Heinrich events and the warmer periods between are termed Dansgaard-Oeschger events. I wonder if these 19C reports of iceberg fleets way north of where we would now expect in southern oceans – are the tail end of the last Heinrich event.

Syria rain history – I think they have other problems

Like many I noticed Prince Charles repeating the claim that climate change is responsible for the rise of Islamic State.
Looking for rain data history at KNMI Climate Explorer I found the only monthly data that made charts for Syria was the “monthly CRU TS3.23 precipitation Syria Index”.

and below expressed as anomalies

The BBC has an interesting Syria profile – Timeline on the last hundred years history of Syria. Andrew Bolt has a post on the story – The science says Prince Charles is a fool to blame global warming for the Islamic State – and Euan Mearns also has – Drought, Climate, War, Terrorism, and Syria.
Turkey has just shot down a Russian Su-24 fighter that was presumably annoying the Turkmen who live very close to the Syria-Turkey border and are no fans of President Assad. While all this is in motion the Kurds Peshmerga forces assisted by western airstrikes are methodically joining the dots towards a new Kurdistan in NE Syria and Iraq. What a maelstrom of diverse competing forces.