Category Archives: IPCC

Lima climate talks decide to meet again in Paris next year – looks to me like a triumph for the Australian position

For the umpteenth time over the decades these money wasting UN IPCC climate talks fail to agree on anything meaningful – only to meet again at some expensive location – global airlines cheer. With China increasing emissions until 2030 at least – and India, rest of Asia plus 3rd world trying to catch China – nothing much anybody else does means squat. In the meantime – in the real world – oil prices are crashing making it cheaper to contribute carbon dioxide plant food into the global carbon cycle.

Why on earth are we sending two cabinet ministers to the Lima climate conference when we could have accredited a departmental janitor

This Fairfax beatup claiming Foreign Minister Julie Bishop has “gone bananas” at Prime Minister Abbott for sending Trade Minister Robb to accompany her at the Lima Climate Conference – is just another example of irresolute see-sawing policy shambles by the Abbott Govt. Absolutely no need to send anybody of Cabinet rank – some lowly apparatchik would have been fine. Interesting the ABC is slow to discover their version of this “story”.

Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott famously said “climate change is crap” – maybe he was correct

The Australian newspaper reported that Tony really did say this at Beaufort, Victoria, in December 2009 – Town of Beaufort changed Tony Abbott’s view on climate change
But my posts on BoM adjustments to ACORN-SAT Cobar Meteorological Office temperatures 1963-2013 Episode 1 and Episode 2 – raise a new question.
Follow the logic here. The adjustments the BoM makes in its flagship ACORN-SAT data show that they do not even trust the readings made at Cobar – a state of the art, purpose-built meteorological station, staffed by their own professionals. What they are saying is that for practical purposes it is impossible even for our modern scientific society to measure temperature consistently at a professionally managed site over multi-decades.
Yet temperature data from thousands of stations of vastly lower quality around the world – used without adjustment to prove “global warming” – are bound to carry far more errors that we know little or nothing about. And the adjustments at Cobar alone are as large as the claimed rate of “global warming” over decades.
So whatever the truth of Tony’s assessment of the whole issue, it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that “climate change as measured – could well be crap”.

1910 Bureau of Meteorology report shows Canberra region temperatures pre-1909 were similar to the ten years 2004-2013

The BoM was asked to calculate the climate of the Canberra district in the process of deciding on a location for the Australian Federal Capital Territory – Chris Gillham alerted me to this report and he has his own comments on the data in a 1Mb pdf report.
Looking at the temperature data in the Table on page 7 & 8 of the pdf report I decided to check on Goulburn, Cooma and Yass getting data from BoM CDO.
In the case of Goulburn the annual mean temperature was 56.1°F for the 46 years prior to 1910 – this equates to 13.4°C and the station was at an altitude of 702m. Now Goulburn Airport is at an altitude of 640m so the 13.4 in town would equate to 14 at the Airport assuming a standard lapse rate. The Airport in the ten years 2004-2013 averaged 13.1 – so even if we take of 0.2 from the Goulburn Town temperature for possible non-Stevenson screen exposure – we still have Goulburn 105 years ago 0.7 degrees warmer than the last ten years.
In the case of Cooma the annual mean temperature was 54°F for the 44 years prior to 1910 – this equates to 12.2°C and the station at Lambie Street was at an altitude of 812m. Now Cooma Airport is at an altitude of 930m so the 12.2 in town would equate to 11.04 at the Airport. The Airport in the ten years 2004-2013 averaged 11.15 – If we take of 0.2 from the historic Cooma temperature for possible non-Stevenson screen exposure – Cooma 105 years ago might have averaged 10.85 or 0.3 degrees cooler than the last ten years.
Yass is complicated by stations closing in the last ten years with only one month overlap. I have done the calculations and allowing for the site change and altitude differences there is near zero difference between the Yass district pre 1910 and in the last ten years.
Upshot is there seems to be no global warming or significant climate change around Canberra since the 19th Century.

EU agrees on ludicrous 40% 2030 emissions reduction target

In the great tradition of countless IPCC climate conferences – at a time EU economies are in deep doldrums – while global temperature has not risen in 18 years – and at a time when Germany electricity generators are increasing coal use – and when France says it will cut back on electricity from nuclear generation – and when the shortcomings of wind & solar inducing extra risks to power grids are increasingly becoming obvious to anybody with normal reasoning powers – the EU twists arms to produce this agreement on a distant fantasy.
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And major political parties wonder why they are losing support.
Emissions data from – Data from BP Statistical Review of World Energy

Our ABC gives free publicity to Lord Deben from the UK who accuses Prime Minister Abbott of “recklessly endangering the future of the world” – with Australian Govt climate policy that is

Only the ABC could give creedence to a notion that the tiny Australian emissions could have any measurable impact on the world.

You would think if this climate expert Lord Deben was concerned about global carbon dioxide emissions he would speak out more about China who has huge rapidly growing emissions and less about Australia where emissions are small, have been reducing and are in any case sequestered by our landmass.