Overall – summer in Sydney was not unusally hot

A reader wrote in commenting that Sydney based family had reported that – “This summer has been too hot!”. I thought I would quickly run this basic check.

I will leave it there for now – the graph raises a few issues and I do not have time just now to dig deeper. This paper by Pierre Gosselin downloadable in Word doc from GWPF is worth a read. Third down in list – Die Welt: “Scientists Warn Of Little Ice Age”, by Pierre L. Gosselin at No Tricks Zone.

Adelaide Port Stanvac seawater desalination plant official opening

I see it has been operating for 18 months and “…SA Water admitted the plant is likely to be mothballed in 2015 after its warranty period expires.”
Opposition Leader, Steven Marshall, says the Government should not have doubled the plant’s capacity from 50 to 100 gigalitres. “The original cost estimate for the 50 gigalitre site or infrastructure was going to be $500 million. We now find out the Government’s spent $2.2 billion,” he said.
“That of course is not money that the Government has paid. That’s money that every single water consumer in South Australia is going to be paying from now on.”
Sounds like another episode in the string of Australian desalination disasters and White Elephants.
I was looking for information summarizing the Adelaide water supply. This metro area map shows a lot of reservoirs and pipelines from the Murray River. However I can not find figures showing how much scheme water is sourced from rainfall around Adelaide and how much is from the river.

Evasive reply from Bureau of Meteorology to my question re a 2011 fault in Perth Metro temperature data

In early March I posted – Perth Metro BoM station 09225 looks to be reading too warm from mid-2011 – could much publicised summer hot days be exaggerated ? – and sent the following fax to the BoM Perth Office asking if they would check this out and let me know what they found. I also faxed BoM head office. Continue reading Evasive reply from Bureau of Meteorology to my question re a 2011 fault in Perth Metro temperature data

Canberra water and electricity utility ACTEW CEO earning $855K – way over the ACT Chief Minister

This story broke here in fanatasy-land a day or so ago but the roots go back two and a half years to October 2010 and earlier.
I have just faxed the ACT Chief Minister an open letter with ideas on reforming ACTEW. Here is the essential text.

Dear Chief Minister,
Re this ~$234K understating of one of the top ACTEW salaries.
Let us be clear here – this issue has been running for at least two and a half years.
I understood that the original +$600K figure (which was excessive enough) – came from a Canberra Times FOI request in 2010; if not under FOI then at least a persistent request for information that took months to be answered. Now we know the 2010 answer from ACTEW was wildly wrong and has stood until now.
Here is the 2010 story saved on RiotACT from two and a half years ago.
Mark Sullivan worth half a mil per year? – 8 Oct 2010

Clearly ACTEW needs major surgery and the following points might be just a start.
[1] Obviously they could source a replacement for less than half of what they are paying the current CEO. Review all salary scales and re-align with utilities from similar sized cities.
[2] ACTEW needs to be divorced from AGL in all areas.
[3] ACTEW should be pruned back to being an agency tasked to deliver the cheapest electricity and water to Canberra – prune back the top heavy ACTEW board and top management structure – sever non-core functions.
[4] Shut down their Civic offices and relocate to cheaper premises at depots in Fyshwick.
[5] ACTEW needs telling by Govt to cease all their “community sponsoring”. To the extent that worthy “community organisations” need financial help – a Minister should handle that task and make decisions to pay out taxpayers money through a Dept in an open and transparent process.
[6] ACTEW has wasted hundreds of $millions on gold plating our water supply while in the thrall of doomster climate change dogmas. A big contributor to blowing out the ACT debt.
[7] By “gold plating” I mean the unnecessary Murrumbidgee to Googong Water Transfer which should be put on “care & maintenance” at least cost to taxpayers.
[8] Your predecessor Chief Minister and Labor Governments contributed to ACTEW cost and debt blow-out by delaying construction of the no-brainer enlarged Cotter Dam.

And I have not started on wasteful Green power schemes – electric car scheme.

Rainfall history to help see the New Zealand drought in perspective

The BBC is reporting – New Zealand North Island hit by worst drought in 30 years. Curious to see some rainfall graphs I turned to KNMI Climate Explorer but it was not easy getting updated data. The GHCN V2 data assembled by NCDC in the USA has many data gaps post 2004 and ends anyway in March 2011 – see picture below. The CRU data ends at 2009. I wonder why – it still rains here and there – did somebody stop paying their salaries ?
So I turned to a shorter term partly satellite based data set from GPCP to bring the graph up to date at Dec 2012. The GPCP might reflect rain over both land and ocean – but that is what we have.

Note the grid area chosen misses out Southland and much of Otago west of 170°East. New Zealand should have rain data from say the 1860’s – if anybody has up to date station data please let me know – or please pass on URL’s to any published New Zealand rain history graphs.
This is a common feature when researching climate data – to find that recent data are worse than old data.

Perfect from 1900 to 2004 – then gaps abound.

Not everybody agrees with the Bureau of Meteorology claim that Australia has just had its “hottest summer on record”

Scientists at NOAA/NWS/NCEP Climate Prediction Center & RS Information System, Inc. McLean, Virginia have developed a “…station observation based global land monthly mean surface air temperature dataset at 0.5° x 0.5° latitude-longitude resolution for the period from 1948 to the present…”
The gridded data – 1948-now: CPC GHCN/CAMS t2m analysis (land) – is available at KNMI Climate Explorer Monthly Observations page and a 515KB pdf paper can be downloaded.
Choosing CPC GHCN/CAMS t2m data from 45°South to 10°South and 110°East to 155°East and comparing with the data constructing the BoM “Time series graphs” for Mean Temperature for Australia for Summer – then downloading the “Raw data set”.
Here is the comparison graphed.

It is obvious that the CPC GHCN/CAMS t2m analysis produces a very different ranking of Australian historic summer heat. While 2013 was the hottest summer in the BoM heavily adjusted ACORN SAT data – the CPC GHCN/CAMS t2m analysis finds that 1983 was a clear winner for the hottest summer and 1973 missed out by only 0.00135°C.
Here are the rankings of the top ten hot summers for each data set.

1986 sea level paper titled “Australia – an unstable platform for tide-gauge measurements of changing sea levels”

I came across this paper at the end of last year – hoping to obtain a pdf copy or find a library with a hard copy of the journal – or maybe a reader could scan the 14 pages.
Anyway, it is worth a post just for the title alone – particularly in view of recent publicity about subsidence in the Perth area.
See my post from last December.
To understand Perth sea-levels is a complex issue – much of the Perth plain has subsided in recent decades

Western Australian election confirms trend against the Greens who are looking down the barrel of more losses in upcoming Federal election

Following on from the October 2012 ACT Election where the Greens lost three of four seats – early indications from the Western Australian upper house (Legislative Council) count is that they might have losses there too as the Liberal Govt was returned in a comfortable win, possibly of landslide proportions.
From ABC News – Greens disappointed with election result
It might take several days for WA Legislative Council trends to firm up.
I wonder what might be in store for the Greens at the 2013 Federal Election if the major parties come to their senses and promote the sensible idea to simply “number the Greens last”. I am interested to hear what readers think might be ways the Greens Nationally could try and turn this bad situation around. For example – could Bob Brown return as leader ?
Added 14 March – chart shows how Greens vote increased post 2000 as the Democrats faded away. The Democrats were a centrist group whose supporters could not decide between Labor and Liberal/National. Whereas the Greens are generally accepted as being to the left of Labor. So the Greens peak voting percentages in the years 2008-2011 must include some ex-Democrats who might be unhappy with the Greens performance in the GreenLabor Gillard July 2010-Sep 2013 Federal Government to date.

Particularly from second half 2012 after their long time leader Dr Bob Brown retired – also the Greens could be seen to be obstructing Labor efforts to close our open borders and then last month when the Green Leader Christine Milne accused Labor of “…walking away from its agreement with the Greens and into the arms of the big miners.”
Federal polls have the Greens at around 11%. The chart shows recent weakness in Green numbers in the ACT, WA and to a lesser extent Queensland.

Reminder of the wild prediction NASA made in 2006 about the current Solar Cycle 24

A reader sent me this priceless NASA prediction of a “…30% to 50% stronger…” Solar Cycle 24. A timely reminder of how wrong these highly paid experts and huge taxpayer funded organizations can be. Somebody might have a URL to a chart showing the several NOAA/NASA failed predictions of the last half decade.
Readers can check my Solar category and you will see posts going back to late 2006 that have stood the test of time.
Readers can plot for themselves on this first chart of sunspot numbers since 1750 – just how wrong NASA were in 2006.

This chart of mine shows latest monthly numbers through February 2013.