A large percentage of Australia was predicted to have hotter than normal days this month –
as Sep counts down keep a watch on how different areas are trending.
Using the easy to access AWN monthly data it looks as though the following areas will need a late Sep heatwave to avoid the Outlook failing.
For example Tasmania, Adelaide, Ceduna, Alice Springs, Perth, Kalgoorlie region, Giles region, Kimberley, Cape York.
You can also compare with weekly max temp anomalies through this month – which show substantial green or neutral areas. You should be able to see maps for the weeks ending 6th, 13th and 20th Sep.
On the weekend I noticed this error in the BoM rain map –
I thought come Monday they will correct this to 9.27mm. Here we are Tuesday and no such luck, the error has gone into their daily rain numbers – presumably to be discovered in checks at a later date, weeks months away. It has also gone into 3rd party sites like AWN –
there could be others. It puzzles me that an error as gross as this lives on for 3 days – surely a little robot algorithm could flag outliers way less than this. I thought it was topical in view of my call for an audit of Perth dam catchments rain data.
Just ran an update as at 31 July – several Water Corporation stations look suspect – several BoM stations are out of date by months. My spreadsheet showing audit required.Source of BoM data and map – for a years daily data enter the 6 digit BoM station ID alongside Station number then click the Get Data button. Map showing dams and localities. BoM map with their sites and dams visible.
In May I reported – West Australian Govt Water Corporation fails to record March 2016 rain at several dams
This animation for the 12th to 15th July 2016 shows a cool anomaly which moves from northern WA into the NT then into Qld.
You can see daily temps by clicking on districts at this AWN map. BoM “Climate statistics for Australian locations” give you the existing record. Change stations by changing station # in URL. To see the seven records I noted Continue reading
Weather warning: East coast low brings flash flooding, strong winds and damaging surf – BoM current rain page.
In percentage terms – plenty of rain across our north this month which is usually the start of the dry.
Some of the high rain areas on this map will be worth multi-$Millions in extra agricultural production. The plus 400% contour should be a bit wider east and SE of Darwin – where two outback stations scored +100mm on the 10th.
The centre of our largest urban heat island reached 34.2 on 6 Apr 2016 topping 33.9 from 5 Apr 1986.
Other stations I have checked that were open in 1986 were all hotter in April 1986.
Sydney Airport 34.7 on 6 Apr 2016 but 35.7 on 4 Apr 1986
Bankstown AP 35.8 on 6 Apr 2016 but 36.9 on 4 Apr 1986
Parramatta Nth 35.2 on 6 Apr 2016 but 37 on 4 Apr 1986
Richmond RAAF(067105) 36.6 on 6 Apr 2016 but Richmond RAAF(067033) 38.2 on 4 Apr 1986
The ABC TV weather news was beating up Penrith but that station did not open until 1995 and there seems to be no other Penrith station – tough – what liars.
Looking at the state I have checked Goulburn, Condobolin, Cobar, Bourke – the first 3 were all hotter in Apr 1986. Bourke Post Office was hotter 3 times between 1906 and 1922. So just now I can not find that 6 April made a record hot day anywhere in NSW except Sydney Obs Hill – any suggestions? This would be remarkable.
I know satellites are not measuring the surface but in true scale across Australia the height range of the lower troposphere they sense would be similar in scale to onion skin.
RSS and UAH
BoM finds plenty heat at surface.
The ABC acts as the BoM faithfull media lapdog – March temperatures sets record as hottest ever, Bureau of Meteorology says – We can see the duplicity in the way the article fails to be explicit about mentioning daytime temperature but in fact where they say “…reaching 1.7 degrees Celsius above the long-term average.” That is the MEAN they are talking about (max + min/2) and we all know the mean is little talked about. This beaten-up “Hottest March” did NOT have the hottest days, 1986 had way hotter days. Here are the anomaly charts first.
March max history 2016 no record despite ACORN tweaks
March mean history 2016 sneaky ACORN created record that BoM trumpets
March min history 2016 big record helped by ACORN tweaks – BoM silent on meteorological reasons for the min record
SE Australia 1940 March max hottest by a country mile despite ACORN tweaks
SE Australia 2016 March min record helped by ACORN tweaks
SE Australia 2016 March mean record helped by ACORN tweaks but a mystery how the narrow min record goes with the cooler max result to just give the mean a record by a nose
Now the anomaly maps – March max only a pussy of a hot month – 1986 March max – now there are hot days –
March min – oops there is the NNTHS
No hot March nights at Giles – our only purpose built professionally staffed met station in central Australia – shame about that.