Hazelwood 1,600MW of electricity generation is due to close at end of March. This must further stress our already strained power supplies and rack up prices further. People concerned that this would weaken our electricity grid should email politicians asking that Hazelwood be kept open. I will be emailing the PM, Treasurer and several other members of the Commonwealth Parliament. For information email to –
Keep.Hazelwood.Open (the you know what symbol) engineer.com
Terry McCrann had a good article – Keep Hazelwood power station open through takeover
NSW is usually an importer of electricity – interesting that generation for our largest State is propped up by imports from both Qld and Victoria. NSW is an Importer of Electricity – my series of Nemwatch charts annotated with simultaneous demand & price data from AEMO. There will be more data to present on the subject.
The upshot is – Victoria is the Lynchpin State of our grid in terms of electricity generation. Another reason to “Keep Hazelwood open”
Policy bombshell for PM Turnbull. Read what Tony says – “Ending any further mandatory increase in the use of renewables”
The comprehensive book “He who must be Obeid” by Kate McClymont and Linton Besser details over 20 years of Labor corruption in NSW and has ~20 pages of Chapter notes (Endnotes) with many dozens of references to press articles (including exact headlines which are easily searched with Google). Amazon has a Kindle Edition.
I have scanned the 20 odd pages which are linked below if you click on “Continue reading”.
Over weeks & months I intend to post links online to all the press articles from the book that I can find using Google. For a start here are links to scans of the Endnotes. Continue reading Guide to ~100 press articles about Eddie Obeid
Main points are
 Victoria has diverged from the others over the last quarter. What could be driving Vic prices down towards levels of 2014-15?
 The other States prices are still way above levels of 2015.
AEMO Price & Demand — Generation at NemWatch
I will add to this list and links as ideas come in. We may be the lucky country but surely stupidity will extract a price one day. All these issues would make articles in their own right.
 AUSSAT $700mill losses & debts rolled over into Pay TV 1990’s,
 $6Bn Collins Class Submarines 1990’s – duds we are still stuck with,
 Electricity privatisations started in 1990’s – looking at our ballooning power prices would we have been better off keeping the old State Electricity Commissions? Despite the feather-bedded unions.
 MRET scheme making 3 worse and harming our electricity grid into the bargain – ongoing multi $Bn’s as taxpayers fund wind & solar that can never power our 24/7 grid,
 Defence purchases eg MRH-90 helicopters $4.2Bn,
 Frequently delayed and poorly performing F-35 fighters $24Bn alone,
 Eastern States Desalination plants ~$20Bn,
 Rudd Labor watering down border laws $11.6 billion over five years,
 Decades of anti-damism – after not building the Franklin Dam in the 80’s,
 Antifracking hysteria affecting gas exploration policy in face of rising prices,
 Building the Education Revolution $16.2Bn – More money for Education = worse results,
 Adelaide Hospital third most expensive building in the world $2.1Bn,
 Inability to control rogue unions like CFMEU which affects 12 and all other construction est +$10Bn,
 NBN a future $100Bn mediocre performer?
 Buying 12 French submarines before even a prototype is built future $50Bn,
 The GST carve up which rewards the basket case States SA & Tas.
 Various States and GreenLabor anti-nuclear policies.
 Climate change policies – have a effect in 4, 7, 10, multi-$Bn’s.
 Just been told about this from Toytown 17 Jan 2017. Amazing construction stuffup with Sydney Metro NorthWest rail bridge.
“Investigation reveals ‘disappointing’ failures in Skytrain construction”
Please send in useful links and analysis. I must have been half asleep to leave the Rudd MkI Pink Batts and School Halls stimulus projects off the list. Also forgot to add GreenLabor’s Murray Darling Basin Plan to waste more dam water to the ocean.
Snapshot of demand and generation in five States.
Victoria is the big puzzle – where is all that generation going?
A 400Kb pdf account of the post-WWII clearing of the WA wheatbelt that lead to an increase in salinity.
There is a DVD of the 2003 movie the pdf is based on.
Agritech has an engineering scheme to wind back this harm – but can not interest anybody.
The chart is from data at AEMO Average Price Tables – and shows prices rising from the brief period of stability post June 2014 after the Carbon Tax was abolished.
The closure of the last coal fired generation in South Australia in May 2016 preceded the price explosion in June. Then in July the “Safeguard Mechanism” administered by the Clean Energy Regulator kicks in and is designed to make large emitters purchase Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs) if their emissions exceed a baseline. So that would tend to add costs which probably pass on into electricity prices. It is intriguing that while NSW, Qld and SA have seen firm prices in Spring 2016 compared to pre-May – Vic prices have weakened. The reasons for the spikes in Qld prices late 2014 to early 2015 and again in Feb 2016 are not known but operational shutdowns could be a cause. Check NemWatch for realtime generation.
ABC reports – Latest Australian crop report reaffirms farmers are set to harvest their biggest wheat crop ever – but 2016 locked into being hottest year on record, Nasa says. IMHO our Australian farmers deserve a special tax rebate for their efforts.
There has to be a relationship between the cost of petrol in Australia and world oil prices. The ACCC has been in the news lately making various claims so I thought I would compare trends between world oil and pump petrol prices. I got world oil data from IndexMundi and ULP from the AAA. Full size chart.
Using these data the chart shows a period of relative price stability during all of 2010 where I am assuming no oil companies were going bankrupt – so the chart axes have been adjusted to bring WTI and ULP prices close for that period. 2011 saw world oil prices rise in AU$ but there was a period from Jun to Oct 2011 when the reduced WTI price produced no flow-on reductions in pump prices. Then again from Jun 2012 to Apr 2013 the reduced WTI price produced no flow-on reductions in pump prices. B marks a three month period where motorists might have clawed back some losses.
Then there was 12 months of relative price stability from Oct 2013 to Sep 2014 before the world oil price began its prolonged crash which is not ended even today. It is obvious that by the relative prices of 2010 pump prices should have remained a lot lower after Jan 2015.
Assuming Australia uses ~18Billion litres of petrol PA – the price gouging at say 2 yrs @ 10c per litre is of the order of $1,800Million PA extra lifted from motorists wallets. The Caltex CTX share price shows a marked appreciation after the start of 2014. I realize there may have been increases in Fuel Excise since 2010 but the amounts would be slight compared to the yawning gap in my chart.