Category Archives: IPCC

Another classic use of basic temperature data to define UHI – this time the Phoenix AZ urban heat island

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Over a decade ago I posted this page – Phoenix AZ five degree grid cell
Had a quick look at it, graphics need improving but stands the test of time I think – an example of one of the great rorts in science.

BBC exaggerated warming trend in David Attenborough’s TV show “Africa”

This story has been running the rounds. “BBC exaggerated climate change in David Attenborough’s Africa”. Donna Laframboise has just dug deeper into the scam and shreds the BBC’s shoddy work further in – “The Workshop Presentation that Never Was”

Thought it worth restating that I have pointed out in Aug 2006 “Satellites vs surface, amazing agreement over the USA” then revisited the theme again
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Why is it that unpaid sceptics all over the world have to correct the work of highly paid IPCC warmists ?

Modern day scientific hero

Thanks to The National Business Review in New Zealand we have this rare article on Steve McIntyre while he was visiting downunder.

Canadians Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick for a decade now have spearheaded the forensic examination of faulty IPCC climate science. I can understand how he has been a “demon” to the IPCC and their cohorts. You only have to checkout the Climategate emails.

IPCC ingrained ignorance revealed again in hand-wringing statement about flooding on Maori land “…low-land plains…”

This IPCC leaked text is available here. –

Large proportions of Maori owned land (>60%) are steep and hilly and susceptible to damage from high intensity rainstorms and erosion; while low-land plains and terraces are vulnerable to flooding and high sedimentation (Harmsworth and Raynor, 2005; King et al., 2010).

Can somebody tell the IPCC that “low-land plains” are FORMED by floods over the aeons. Rivers and creeks flood and carry sediment out over bordering lands. This sediment drops out of suspension to form a new soil layer. A process that has been repeating since the beginning of time. You can not have “low-land plains” without occasional flooding and associated sedimentation.

Australian Climate Commission statements need examining with a fine toothed comb

Saw this headline – Australia getting hotter with greater risk of heatwaves: Climate Commission.
So I checked what the gold plated measure of Global Warming had to tell us. Annual data for the CRUTem3 land only dataset covering the Australian region 10 to 45 South and 110 to 155 East, updated through November last. Looks like this.

Clearly NO global warming was impacting Australia up till end November last – periods in the 1880’s and pre-1920 exceed recent warmth – since mid 2010 our temperatures have been mostly moderate. I will update this post as fresh data comes in for CRUTem3.
To allow us a peep at temperature anomalies for Australia in the lower troposphere from NASA satellites – we have this global map showing the anomaly for 2012 – note Australia is an utter non-event, mostly cooling, if anybody is thinking, “Global Warming impacting Australia”. Then we have a similar map for December 2012, same story, Australia is a non-starter re Global Warming. Satellite LT temperature archives.

IPCC says Maori are not equally represented politically – is climate change a “hot topic” around the iwi and Maori society in general ?

The Christmas leak of IPCC memory sticks to Donna Laframboise has revealed a little 94 page creation on Australasia. Taking a quick skim through I was struck by this marvellous section on “…impacts of climate change on Maori…”.
Kiwis enjoy. I particularly liked – “…inequalities in political representation…” in the last para – and I thought all Kiwis had the vote.
You can download at Anthony Watts – scroll right down to the link to Chapter 25: Australasia – here or here
Continue reading IPCC says Maori are not equally represented politically – is climate change a “hot topic” around the iwi and Maori society in general ?

BBC reports UK Met Office revises 2017 temperature forecast cooler

BBC here – posted by the UKMO on Christmas Eve – a huge departure from their forecast of a year ago – thanks to Wayback machine.
I have stiched together the two forecasts so readers can best see the huge difference.

One point puzzles me and that is the difference in the white curves after 2007, marked on my graphic as 07. UKMO says – “Previous predictions starting from June 1960, 1965, …, 2005 are shown as white curves,..”. OK but is anybody aware that the post 2007 downturn was ever published as a forecast ?

The above little comparison shows the difference in the white curves better.
UK MP Mr Graham Stringer gives his views on the UKMO Christmas revision.

Hydrocarbons discovered in the Horsehead Nebula – in our galaxy

Astronomers at the Max Planck Institute report their stunning discovery which adds support to those proponents of an Abiotic origin for hydrocarbons.
The researchers were surprised by the unexpectedly high levels of hydrocarbons. “The nebula contains 200 times more hydrocarbons than the total amount of water on Earth!”, said IRAM-astronomer Viviana Guzman.
“We observe the operation of a natural refinery of petroleum of gigantic size”, concludes Jérôme Pety.
Another problem for the IPCC.

Classic IPCC compliant West Antarctica “warming faster” story – destroyed by satellite data

Just saw this at ABC online Christmas eve – too busy to respond – I see Anthony Watts with it too.
This neat map and story is at the OurAmazingPlanet.com site.

Unfortunately for the authors of the Nature paper – NASA satellite lower troposphere temperature data by UAH team Spencer & Christy shows cooling over the 1979-2012 period for the 60 degree sector covering West Antarctica with Byrd Station (near 80S – 119W) central.

The trend for the entire zone between 75 & 85 south is also cooling.

CGPS based geodetic measurements at ten Pacific Ocean tide gauges show five are sinking, four steady and one rising 2001-2008

Just came across this under-reported gem from Geoscience Australia, I note their disclaimer – “…the length of the time series is too short for reliable vertical station velocity estimation….”
As the years roll on these data should become more reliable guides as to the changes in tide gauge heights. But what they show so far is worth reporting.
Cook Islands – steady

Fiji – steady

Kiribati – down

Manus Islands (PNG) – down

Micronesia – down

Nauru – down

Samoa – steady

Tonga – up

Tuvalu – steady

Vanuatu – down

Marshall Islands – data too short