Recent rain through Queensland and the centre has so quickly ruined the BoM rain Outlook for March and probably longer. Real world rain below- In a priceless twist the Mar to May Outlook was referred to by the BoM in Senate Estimates on 26Feb18 when questioned by Senator Di Natale.
Summer rain Outlook 16 Nov foretold near average for SE Aust. Summer rain Outlook 30 Nov better but already wrong if the ‘Lives at risk’ scare is half correct. OK so anybody can make mistakes – lets check what they forecast for November rain on Oct 12th and then on Oct 26th. Here is map … Continue reading BoM summer Outlook axed in a fortnight now “lives at risk” due Vic floods
Could have done better – miniscule areas with above average rain predicted but it looks as if about half of the misgoverned nation enjoyed over average rain. And they get Tasmania exactly wrong. October max(daytime) temperatures were forecast to be high in most of the coastal rim and cool in the centre extending to the … Continue reading Australian BoM October rain Outlook disaster
Web footed Kiwis are emailing me as Christchurch and regions floods again. Whenever I have read NIWA Outlooks they seem utterly useless – This reasoning is based on the similar chemical structure of india viagra generic can make this possible that single consumption will entertain your life for an absolute thirty six hours by redeeming … Continue reading Christchurch floods again – how useful are NIWA Outlooks?
Starting with SW WA the iconic poster-child of the lavishly State-funded climate scaremongers – exactly wrong. SE WA and West SA big fail. Central WA 2 wet predictions – huge fail. Far north wet prediction mostly an utter fail. Central NT huge wet was predicted dry – fail again. Cooktown region wet not predicted – … Continue reading BoM July rain Outlook region by region so often exactly wrong
The NZ climate prediction maestros look to have dropped another dodgy one – to my untrained eye anyway. Stuff says – Live: Christchurch declares state of emergency, orders evacuation as floods rise – and the NZ Herald with hopeless front page – Winter storm chaos: What you need to know If I read the COLA … Continue reading NIWA “dryer than average” New Zealand rain Outlook looks under threat – again
Main predicted dry core of Outlook exactly wrong – gotta love those Outlooks. Forecast rain at BoM – Real world rain at BoM. Maps kept for posterity – April 2017 Outlook – Actual rain percentage.
The March Outlook March percent rain
Just as useless as our BoM – the NIWA March to May Outlook issued 1st March wrecked by heavy rain they never saw coming. They said – Regional predictions for the March – May 2017 season Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Bay of Plenty Rainfall totals are about equally likely to be in the near normal (35% … Continue reading NIWA 3 month Outlook destroyed inside two weeks
A large percentage of Australia was predicted to have hotter than normal days this month – as Sep counts down keep a watch on how different areas are trending. Using the easy to access AWN monthly data it looks as though the following areas will need a late Sep heatwave to avoid the Outlook failing. … Continue reading BoM max temperature Outlook for September heading for fails