Main predicted dry core of Outlook exactly wrong – gotta love those Outlooks.
Forecast rain at BoM – Real world rain at BoM. Maps kept for posterity – April 2017 Outlook – Actual rain percentage.
Main predicted dry core of Outlook exactly wrong – gotta love those Outlooks.
Forecast rain at BoM – Real world rain at BoM. Maps kept for posterity – April 2017 Outlook – Actual rain percentage.
Sounds like as precise as the weather office ever gets to me. At least in my country:)
Cheers
Roger
BoM presenters on ABC Landline often deserve credit for maintaining a straight face when they present these outlooks each month. Maybe a genuine review of what they predicted and what actually eventuated would be a good addition. Although a bit of balance might not do much for underlying narrative promoted by the BoM and the ABC but it certainly would shed some light on the fallibility of these outlooks.
Sorry, did I mention balance and ABC in the same sentence? One can dream I guess.
“By seeking and blundering we learn.”
― Johann Wolfgang von Goethe.
Also, Melbourne will move to Dubbo, “under high emissions, by the end of the century” : www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au/media/ccia/2.1.6/cms_page_media/134/TR_Figure9.11_compressed.jpg
Link to image within BOM webpage on Climate Analogues:
www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au/en/climate-projections/climate-analogues/about-analogues/