What do readers think of this ?
Does anybody feel the need for more information other than weather forecasts we access every day now ?
Smells to me like just another way to beat up normal very hot days.
Reported by Fairfax – New heatwave alert system to help save lives – Nov 7, 2013 – Peter Hannam
On 4th & 5th November 2013 – you read it first here. Previous two consecutive subzero days were in 1939.
I have tried searching this in Google but nothing turns up. So I am wondering if the Bureau of Meteorology has said anything.
Would we have heard if it had been a two consecutive hottest days record ?
I think so.
For my money – crystal clear evidence of bias in the BoM.
Heard this on TV news last night – Chilly November nights for southern NSW and ACT
The ACT saw some of the coldest temperatures, with Canberra Airport dipping to -1.5 degrees, its coldest November night since 1970.
The ABC reports – Leaked NSA report reveals Australia-US spying operations during Bali conference
I thought it was well known that nations have intelligence services.
Many nations secretly plan harm to other nations – thats obvious from history – still going on now.
It would be worrying if Australia did not constantly seek out the most accurate information about other nations and their intentions.
As an example of how tensions are not getting any less in the Asia Pacific region – just last week newspapers in China published information about the capability of the Chinese armed forces to strike at the USA with submarine mounted nuclear armed missiles – including this plain map.
Many of us can think back to the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, associated collapse of the USSR and the end of the Cold War – nearly 25 years ago now.
There was a prevailing belief then that international tensions had eased.
I wonder now that with the rapid rise of China – not to mention parallel growth of Islamic extremism – the world is not getting any safer anytime soon.
Channel 9 TV, Weatherzone and the BoM have been claiming Brisbane, Sydney and the Hunter experienced a record hot October. Weatherzone is quoted here in the Blacktown Sun. The ABC quotes the BoM for its story – Hottest October on record for Hunter.
However a quick check of monthly max historic BoM data shows most of the claims of all time warm records for October are either wrong or not robust.
Brisbane 040913 which averaged 28.8 in the middle of large and growing urban heat island, is a short term station with October data only from 2000.
A more reliable guide to the region would be Brisbane Aero 40842 which recorded 26.8 and equalled that in 2004. But the older Brisbane Aero 40223 with data from 1950 recorded 28.3 in 1988.
Amberley with a longer continuous record averaged 30.9 last month but 31.5 in 1988.
So there are two stations with less urban data than the centre of Brisbane which both confirm October 2013 was not a record warm month.
In the case of Sydney, the news items said the centre of the city did not qualify – despite the monster urban heat island. That should have been a red flag – but did not stop a trawl for some high number in western s8uburbs data not known for long term station sites.
Parramatta North (Masons Drive) 66124 last month 27.0 but in 1988 was 28.9 – Weatherzone should take more time over their checking.
In the Hunter there were patches where 2013 had the hottest October – eg Cessnock and Williamtown but at several other sites this was not so.
Newcastle Nobbys 25.2 last month but 25.3 Oct 1988
Newcastle University 27.3 last month but 27.5 Oct 2002
Scone Airport read 28.8 last month but only has data from 1992 – Scone Philip St recorded 29.6 in 1907, 28.9 in 1910, 32.3 in 1919, 29.3 in 1940, 28.9 in 1988.
Jerrys Plains Post Office 61086 has a long record in the Hunter – and last month recorded 29.2 but read 30.8 in 1907, 29.2 in 1912, 29.2 in 1915, 29.5 in 1922, 29.3 in 1926 & 27, 29.5 in 1936, 30.5 in 1940, 30.8 in 1944, 29.5 in 1988, 30.1 in 2002 and 29.3 in 2007.
So I think Weatherzone and BoM memories are too often too short.
Anybody noticing “hot October” claims in their areas.
Chart data from – BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2013
On the day the Australian Climate Authority puts out a load of twaddle it is useful to remind ourselves of the facts of where Australia stands in the global carbon dioxide emissions stakes.
The new Australian Federal Govt is itching to sack this GreenLabor stacked quango – Climate Change Authority – but has to wait until newly elected Senators take the seats 1st July 2014 – unless Labor agrees to vote with the Govt.
The critical question for Australia is – why should we risk our puny little economy by making harmful changes when Asian emissions continue to skyrocket.
We could shut Australia down and return to the Stone Age – the effect on global emissions would not be noticed.
Half way through spring – global warming not enough to save them
Snow cave tragedy: couple die after New Zealand rescuers hampered by horrendous weather
Some sound advice from NZ experts. – It’s all down to climbers when weather turns
A quick decision to turn around and head down might save you.
Do the summit another day.
- weather turned out 25°
Apologies – I initially posted the forecast at 35deg which was wrong – it was 28.
The 35 degrees is tomorrow, Wednesday.
- In January I commented on an 8° fail. Australian Bureau of Meteorology Sydney temperature forecast 12 Jan 2013 – another amazing failure
Fascinating to check tonight what gets said on TV weather news.
Sydney region forecast link –
Actual weather link – several days are kept.
The ABC commentary is here –
Agencies not prepared for a major emergency
Confusion between police and fire service about who was in charge
Fire service failed to act on computer simulations predicting Dunalley could be devastated by the Forcett fire
Road closures could have been handled better
Lives probably put at risk
Government accepts 72 recommendations, 31 approved in principle
30 prioritised for immediate start
Fuel reduction planning begins immediately
the report is introduced here – note the 1967 history – www site to download the pdf report in two parts total ~16MB.
Subsequent ABC news items as various parties position themselves – Opposition wants Tasmanian minister to quit over bushfire crisis – Firefighters take a swipe at January bushfire inquiry findings – Premier rejects Opposition claims fire fuel warnings ignored.
After the devastation of the Dunalley fire 4 Jan 2013 I posted this – Question about large fixed wing air tankers, water bombers in Australia now – Dunalley fire timeline. The report Appendix has timelines which show the Forcett fire (which ran and destroyed Dunalley on the 4th) was known to be burning on the 3rd.
I am saying this is a case where a four engined air tanker could have put out the Forcett fire on the 3rd. Too often our fire services seem to “accompany fires” – exhausting their resources. For example Yass and SE Cooma last summer – both of which burnt for several days – and the town of Yass was lucky not to come under direct attack. In both cases I am saying four engined air tankers would have been useful in suppressing those fires.
As a nation we spend $Billions on border protection but can not see the advantage in spending a few $Million each summer to charter a four engined water bomber or two. Technology that should probably be controlled by the RAAF.
IMHO the Victorian fire hierarchy on Black Saturday 7 Feb 2009 was in some disarray to say the least – possibly caught out by having their focus to the SE of Melbourne that morning and never properly catching up with catastrophic events to the north through the afternoon.
In the case of the Canberra fires 18 January 2003; these had been burning in NSW bush to the west and north west of the ACT for over a week – yet residents had little advance warning from authorities of the attack that Saturday afternoon.