We all know media headlines and news have been mentioning cold conditions in south east Queensland and the Australian south-east. So checkout the BoM minimum T Outlook for June 2022 published on 26th May. Then compare with the string of daily Minimum anomalies starting 1st June – enjoy.
Min T Outlook for June 2022
www.bom.gov.au/jsp/sco/archive/index.jsp?map=tmin&outlook=median&period=month1&year=2022&month=5&day=26&y=2022&m=5&d=26
Minimum temperature anomalies 1st June 2022 – click the later button to work through June.
www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/temp/index.jsp?colour=colour&time=history%2Fnat%2F2022060220220602&step=10&map=minanom&period=daily&area=nat
They even have the actual minimum anomaly wrong. All south east Qld. has had temperatures below average. It was 5C at Maroochy airport beside the ocean. My wife was the last two nights at Boonah (south west of Ipswich) where the temperature was -1.9C BOM has been closing past measuring stations and just looking at airports mainly around coastal cities, many of which have only a short record and even these get the measurements wrong.
That BoM forecast modelling is useless is not a surprise, really.
Where I live, this last 10 days has been very cold. For example, 7:30am outside temperature -2C, inside the living area of the house +2/3C. I use gas heating, which takes 5-10 minutes to render the area liveable.
Apart from an electric heater on some timer or other (and risk brownouts), without that gas heating the house becomes unliveable. So it’s not the BoM forecasts that worried me but rather the possibility of gas rationing.
Yes, I know the Q’ld and NSW Govts refused Gas Reservation as policy (just too green to use gaseous hydrocarbons, only to export it), and both NSW and Vic Govts refuse to permit fracking – but I cannot change their bloody-minded stubborness.
Fortunately, the polar-temp south-west wind has dropped right off so although it’s still very cold, the wind chill is gone.
Am I right?
I interpret those graphs as saying Perth will have minimums of minus 4 to minus 6℃. Seems unlikely to me but I don’t (& haven’t) live there.
This page
www.australianweathernews.com/data/DS1_09.HTM
shows that the first 7 days of June were below the minimum norm in Perth – then after that days have been notably warmer.
Now 23 June in Brisbane and still as cold as a mother-in-law’s kiss.
Cold enough to freeze the balls off a billiard table.
G3/Wazz: As a long-term Perth resident, we have occasionally dropped down to zero or close to it, but I doubt that this will occur this winter, mainly due to the existing La Niña conditions that have kept our weather warmer than normal. Our current minimums are around 13-16, and I can’t see that changing all winter.
The graph of minimum temps across Australia shows a minus 4 to 6 anomaly, not a minus 4 absolute temperature in Perth, which would be extraordinary, legendary if it happened.
It just means 4 to 6 degrees cooler than the normal at that point.