SOI retraces and No Vote historic huge Aussie verdict against Albo Gov

Less than a month ago 19 Sep BoM was saying El Nino would bring us a “..Summer of severe heat..”
We remember the “brutal summer” media blitz.
Brutal-summer-comp24sep23
Contrary to BoM media is fact that in the almost month since BoM media heralding El Nino the SOI(Southern Oscillation Index) has turned to weaker negative readings closer to the neutral zone between El Nino and La Nina.
SOI-HC-chart-el-nino-17-Oct23
NOBODY!! knows what the SOI will do in the future, we can only follow the numbers as published.

Oops Gov owned BoM instructs Gov owned OurGreenLeftABC to walkback brutal summer BS yakkayakka

We have all seen very recent headlines from last week beating up BoM warnings of a “brutal summer”.
See my 5 screensaves
Brutal-summer-comp24sep23
Yesterday ABC obediently walked back some of BoM’s above enthusiasm of last week – publishing a map showing Australia enjoyed mainly average summer rainfall during the last 13 notable El Ninos (see screensave 5 at above ibb link).
You could not make this up – rush out scary stuff during the week then walk it back on Saturday.
Ready for round two? El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole to deliver more spring heat 23sep23
www.abc.net.au/news/2023-09-23/nsw-national-weather-wrap-september-23/102883448

BoM and ABC beat up Australian “warmest winter on record”

Interesting that NASA satellites found the Australian lower troposphere cooler in August than July
www.drroyspencer.com/2023/09/uah-global-temperature-update-for-august-2023-0-69-deg-c/
www.warwickhughes.com/agri16/UaH-aust-Aug23
whereas the BoM adjusted ACORN mean temperatures found August way warmer than July see chart link below.
www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/?ref=ftr#tabs=Tracker&tracker=timeseries&tQ=graph%3Dtmean%26area%3Daus%26season%3D08%26ave_yr%3D0
Here is a BoM mean T anomaly map for August 2023 showing the red peak anomaly zone right through central wide brown land where there are few weather stations.
You could not make up BoM rubbish and add to that the changes to electric Pt resistance thermometers in recent decades all which can add to hotter readings.
www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/temp/index.jsp?colour=colour&time=latest&step=0&map=meananom&period=month&area=nat
and see Chris Gillham’s updated monthly chart “Australian climate cooling since 2012” comparing BoM adjusted ACORN mean t with NASA satellites for Australia.
www.waclimate.net/australia-cooling.html
Warmer and drier spring forecast after warmest winter on record 31Aug23
media.bom.gov.au/releases/1177/warmer-and-drier-spring-forecast-after-warmest-winter-on-record/
Bureau of Meteorology confirms Australia’s warmest winter on record 1Sep23
www.abc.net.au/news/2023-09-01/bom-confirms-australia-s-warmest-winter-on-record/102804760
This map of the wide brown land mean T deciles for winter shows both Sydney and Canberra regions as “Highest on record” yet both sites had warmer winters in 2013.
www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/temp/index.jsp?colour=colour&time=history%2Fnat%2F2023050120230731&step=0&map=meandecile&period=3month&area=nat
Once again BoM maps not worth paper printed on.

Albo tips more Fed taxpayers $’s into Tassie Hydro on Fathers Day

Marinus Link deal reworked to keep undersea power cable project between Victoria, Tasmania alive 3Sep23
www.abc.net.au/news/2023-09-03/marinus-link-undersea-cable-costs-renegotiated/102808504

Great Albo Cool & Wet Period in Australian mean temperature history

This chart of Australian Govt Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) ACORN V2.3 land station mean temperature series vs NASA lower troposphere satellites UAH, thanks to Chris Gillham, www.waclimate.net/australia-cooling.html
My annotation on Chris’ chart indicates the “Great Albo Cool & Wet Period” (GACWP)
www.warwickhughes.com/agri16/GACWP-Mk2-8aug23.jpg
Note Albo is the nick for our GreenLeft Australian Prime Minister Albanese. The GACWP starts after the heat of 2019 to the present day and has not ended. It will take a few months near 3 deg mean anomaly to end the GACWP.
Those of us who follow weather news would have noticed the effort BoM have been putting into talking up heat. Remember their “Heatwave” warning www page – sadly launched in the GACWP. BoM monthly data from here –
www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/?ref=ftr#tabs=Tracker&tracker=timeseries&tQ=graph%3Dtmean%26area%3Daus%26season%3D0112%26ave_yr%3D0

WA polls indicating change in WA Gov show Albo risks being one term PM

I blogged a month ago “Voice campaign polls tightening says ABC”
www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=7153
and has that ever been borne out yeeha.
Since then National polls have showed gains by those intending to vote NO and recently even NSW polls have indicated a majority for NO.
All this has raised the possibility that the referendums could fail which might contribute to Albo being a one term PM.
New WA Gov. laws around intrusion of Indigenous rights onto your “freehold land” have increasingly raised landholder concerns in that State in recent months since the retirement of the popular Premier McGowan. And of course all Australians should assume that their State or Territory Govs. have similar impositions on freehold property being planned deep in their GreenLeft bureaucracies.
In the last few days polls in WA have indicated an earthquake in voting intentions to the extent that the election of a new LNP State Gov is indicated if an election were held.
Poll shows Libby Mettam’s Liberals hold 54-46 two-party preferred lead over Labor with Roger Cook as Premier 23Jul23
thewest.com.au/news/wa/poll-shows-libby-mettams-liberals-hold-54-46-two-party-preferred-lead-over-labor-with-roger-cook-as-premier-c-11360597
Quote [The WA Liberals would win an election held today, according to remarkable new polling that reveals dramatic upheaval in the State’s political landscape.
Mark McGowan’s shock departure, coupled with deeply unpopular Aboriginal heritage laws — which the government has battled to explain — appear to have critically damaged Labor’s prospects in the two short months since Roger Cook took over as Premier.]
It is a long while yet to the referendum vote and if polling continues to indicate a loss for the Yes Vote then I suppose Albo could call off the referendum and just legislate for a Voice; which I recall he has previously threatened to do. I also expect the AEC to act very biassed in favour of a Yes Vote plus the upcoming Govt legislation on disinformation and misinformation has great potential to be used to attack the No Voters side.
Looking further ahead to the 2025 Federal Election the next two summers are a danger time in terms of power price spikes caused by weather and outages that could pressure Govt. energy policy. All factors that could work against Labor in 2025.

Huge Chinese Consulate in Adelaide – are they spying

Is China spying on our various defence related projects. Could be a centre for spying on Woomera and the new Oz Space Industry HQ and operations – not to mention submarine and RAN ship building, Jindalee (JORN) “over the horizon radar network” at Edinburgh – Jindalee Operational Radar Network
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jindalee_Operational_Radar_Network
RAAF reconnaissance operations out of Edinburgh Air base. The Consulate is probably the closest Chinese facility to Pine Gap. Not to mention ~mid-way between China and Antarctica. Hoping readers can add info. Could Australia jam the Sino’s if they are listening to our radio emissions?
New Adelaide Chinese consulate attracts angry protest after complaints about size, human rights abuses 30Mar2021
www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-30/protest-at-opening-of-new-adelaide-chinese-consulate/100037766
Australia monitors new Chinese consulate 25Mar2021
Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade secretary Frances Adamson says she understands concerns about a new Chinese consulate in Adelaide.
7news.com.au/politics/australia-monitors-new-chinese-consulate-c-2433681

BoM reply to me solves mystery Tasmanian island with rain-gauge

Wow a rare event to report – BoM sends me a sensible email communication – chalk that one up.
Around 19Jun23 I noticed a mystery Island was showing SE of Tas on BoM www rainfall maps where by colour coded dots they portray rain gauge readings over the last 48 hrs.
www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood/index.shtml
I Tweeted this on the 19th –


thinking this would find its way to BoM and they would quickly fix their html error.
I have been away from Twitter for several years and restarted after Musk bought in.
I know nothing about the finer points of tweeting.
If any reader knows of some useful www “tweeting for dummies” please pass on.
When after a few days the “island was still showing” on 22 June I emailed Minister Plibersek who has BoM under her wing.
My email got the usual “machine acknowledgement” and I noticed Mystery Island disappeared on 28Jun, I tweeted this.


Mystery Island reappeared on 29th and vanished again on 30th.
Then yesterday a reply came in from BoM – click for jpg copy.
warwickhughes.com/agri16/BoM-reply-mystery-Tas-island-12jul23.jpg
I have difficulty remembering a more sensible and to the point reply from BoM and I am wondering if Minister Plibersek possesses some magical powers she can assert over BoM.

Primarily exposing faulty methodologies behind global temperature trend compilations