Canberra forecast 39°C BoM monster fail

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7 thoughts on “Canberra forecast 39°C BoM monster fail”

  1. I see you were “spared”.
    Canberra has been spared a severe summer scorcher, with temperatures failing to reach the near-record highs that were forecast.
    The capital was expected to hit a high of 39 degrees Celsius, coming “very close” to the December record of 39.2C set in 1994, according to senior forecaster Neil Fraser.
    Mr Fraser said a heatwave crossing over the Tasman Sea, combined with north-westerly winds bringing serious heat from central Australia, could see Canberra give the record a nudge.
    But, according to the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), the city topped out at 34.3C.
    BOM’s New South Wales forecasting service said a lot of the hotter temperatures stayed further north than expected.
    Canberra weather falls short of near-record heat forecast, BOM expects cool Christmas
    www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-19/canberra-falls-short-of-december-record-after-39c-forecast/9270654?WT.ac=statenews_act
    What on earth relevance is this “heatwave crossing over the Tasman Sea” ? Are you now getting weather from NZ?

  2. The ABC page says “The capital was expected to hit a high of 39 degrees Celsius, coming “very close” to the December record of 39.2C set in 1994, according to senior forecaster Neil Fraser.”
    A quick fact check not including more reliable records than the BoM, shows 39.7 recorded in 1938 at Acton 070099 in grey italics until they get through the 79 year backlog to QA check it. From that CDO online page it can also be seen that they have the near miraculous ability to QA check the monthly averages and daily December record min and max without having first approving the daily temps. The monthly average for 1938 in dark QAed bold is 28.9 and the full record daily December maximum as you would expect from the worlds best practice first class outfit is 21.7 as are other things like the full record daily December minimum. Lance

  3. Good find in The Canberra Times Silligy – so Canberra hit 103.4 = 39.7 on 27 Dec 1938 and Yass 106 = 41.1
    Says all time Canberra record as at 1938 was on 28 Jan 1932 which saw 104.2 = 40.1
    Over the years Yass has not been well served by the BoM. No decent time series.

  4. Meanwhile the BoM gets to promote it’s “hottest/worst evah” headlines, with scarcely any mention in the MSM when, yet again, their scaremongering forecasts fail to materialise.
    Voilà the MSM gets its scary headline and the BoM’s propaganda agenda is served….

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