Thanks to Romanoz for alerting us to this fascinating research – see his comment #5. I now have the 20MB download – Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment – dated November 2009.
Under 18.104.22.168 Atmospheric data derived from ice cores
The last para on page 43 starts – Ice core sea-salt as a potential proxy for mid-latitude winter rainfall variability. The full text on p 43 & 44 is saved here if you click on “Read the rest of this entry” at the end of the post.
Fig 2.8 shows salt content of ice varying from 1300AD and the text says – [ The work in progress indicates that southwest Western Australia experienced periods of higher mean winter rainfall, with high interdecadal variability during 1300 to 1600 AD, followed by lower mean but less variable winter rainfall from 1600 to 1900 AD, which is similar to the past 50 years (Goodwin, in prep.).]
The text ends by saying – [This long record would be of enormous economic benefit to all water users in Western Australia.]
Fig 2.7 shows that in the phase illustrated in panel b, the SW of WA is affected by higher readings of MSLP (mean sea-level pressure) – more finer weather.
So WA water authorities and politicians should take note – there is evidence that pre-1975 SW WA rainfall was not some constant high-rain regime. The post-1975 lower rain regime may be a perfectly normal phase of long term cycles and nothing to do with Greenhouse as they have claimed ad nauseum – Chapter and verse for a decade or more.
22.214.171.124 Atmospheric data derived from ice cores – start p 43
Ice core sea-salt as a potential proxy for mid-latitude winter rainfall variability.
Recent work by Goodwin (in prep.) has focused on the application of the proxy mid-latitude MSLP and SAM index time series, to investigate methods for hindcasting southern Australian rainfall over the past millennium. Proxy May – July MSLP and SAM data have been cross- correlated against May – July total rainfall data for stations located in southwest and southern Western Australia. Preliminary results, indicate that the highest correlation between the data
was calculated for stations close to the coastal escarpment in southwest Western Australia, indicating the strong relationship between winter rainfall, the phase of the SAM and the circumpolar longwave circulation pattern, particularly the meridional location of the Rossby wave number 3 troughs and ridges in the Indo-Australian region. Interdecadal winter rainfall variability across coastal Southern Australia appears to be strongly associated with the time-varying behaviour of the longwave pattern and the SAM. The work in progress indicates that southwest Western Australia experienced periods of higher mean winter rainfall, with high interdecadal variability during 1300 to 1600 AD, followed by lower mean but less variable winter rainfall from 1600 to 1900 AD, which is similar to the past 50 years (Goodwin, in prep.). These preliminary results, illustrate the potential for using high-resolution (monthly) ice core glaciochemical data to reconstruct and predict atmospheric circulation and rainfall distribution patterns across Southern Australia at interannual to interdecadal resolution. Since there is a strong correlation between mid-latitude MSLP, South Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures (SST) and rainfall over southwest Western Australia (Smith I. et al., 2000) ice core sites in Queen Mary Land, East Antarctica appear to have the best potential for reconstructing MSLP and rainfall variability over southwest Western Australia for the past
few hundred years. This long record would be of enormous economic benefit to all water users in Western Australia.