It is official from the Hadley Centre, ocean cooling might stall global warming for a decade
May 1st, 2008 by Warwick HughesBloomberg news service quoting the German Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences saying that, “Parts of North America and Europe may cool naturally over the next decade, as shifting ocean currents temporarily blunt the global-warming effect caused by mankind”. At the UK Met Office HQ for Global Warming Gurus, the Hadley Centre, Research scientist Richard Wood, says “Natural variations over the next 10 years might be heading in the cold direction,” Wood said. “If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”
Note: At the Leibniz site, follow link on right hand side to, “New Nature Paper: Will global warming take a short break ?”
Thanks to Harold from Seminole Florida for the lead to these articles. As he says, “UN is waffling and spinning on cooling ?”, exactly Harold.
Posted in Climate indicators, IPCC, News and Views | 5 Comments »
May 4th, 2008 at 8:23 pm
This is a very good article by Steven Goddard, that takes the above a little further by showing how it highlights the extra warming found in GISS data by NASA’s Dr James Hansen.
www.theregister.co.uk/2008/05/02/a_tale_of_two_thermometers/
May 5th, 2008 at 12:12 pm
I agree the Register article is insightful and sound. What’s the readership? Against the background of the recent election, is everyman UK and/or EU waking?
May 8th, 2008 at 6:51 pm
CO2 going up, Temperature going down … What’s wrong with this picture?
May 8th, 2008 at 10:40 pm
Hi Warwick; I must confess I have been dining out on an old article of yours;
www.warwickhughes.com/climate/gissbom.htm
There is no doubt the treatment and presentation of data, particularly temp, by AGW supporters is problematic and it is good to see the ball you started rolling is still being pushd by Anthony Watts and Steve McIntyre, amongst others.
May 9th, 2008 at 2:04 pm
You are correct cohenite, I do take great pleasure in watching those guys kick butt over the years.
bill-tb; You ask, “What’s wrong with this picture?”. There is nothing wrong, as I think you know. The warming effect of CO2 has always been vastly smaller than the IPCC has trumpeted and the influence of other climate drivers, cycles related to solar, orbital, effects for example, have always been greater than recognized by the IPCC. What the Leibniz Institute article is saying is that these “non-IPCC-approved” climate drivers are now switching to a cooling phase. It will be fascinating to watch the contortions of the pro-IPCC explanations in the years ahead.
Gary Gulrud; I understand that The Register started as an site for IT enthusiasts and has expanded into other areas.