Joe D’Aleo at Anthony Watts climate sceptics “supersite” report on trend differences 1948-2011 in Texas cities compared to Texas as a whole. Of course the cities are warming compared to the State. And yes of course Texas cities non-climatic warming trends are incorporated into “GLOBAL WARMING”. There is a link to this NOAA page – maybe some readers can do similar comparisons with other States, I suggest looking in States with flat terrain will make it easier to detect UHI. In 2000 I reported on Jones 1994 additions of large Texas cities. I also found plenty of evidence of UHI contamination in IPCC trends from other USA cities. Hotlanta – a great example seems to have been left off my list page. I recall asking Phil Jones about his use of Atlanta and he replied that in his 1994 update he included some other smaller places from Georgia. As though that could cancel the colossal Atlanta error.
Some day there might be a global land temperature compilation that does not use urban areas.
Category Archives: IPCC
CRU (Climate Research Unit) southern hemisphere temperature stations have remained uncorrected for 25 years – fixed in March 2012 CRUTem4
By Ed Thurstan & WSH.
I know this will surprise people but it seems to be the case – see the email from Dr Phil Jones to Ed Thurstan in Ed’s paper – The Darwin Fiddle. 1MB pdf
I always knew that Jones stated in his 1991 update that “Northern Hemisphere data have been corrected for inhomogeneities, while Southern Hemisphere data are presented in uncorrected form.”
However I always assumed that referred to the station data distributed by CDIAC – in those days on diskettes – and that deep in CRU processing – their stated Southern Hemisphere corrections would have been applied by PDJ’s beloved FORTRAN.
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Comparing CRUT3 with CRUT4 for various Australian gridcells – taken together with PDJ’s reply to Ed shows that he never got around to applying the hundreds of Southern Hemisphere corrections for 25 years. Simply stunning.
Never forget – that IPCC science is settled science.
Cheering news at last – sackings at the Department of Climate Change
Not far enough though – but a start.
Department Secretary Blair Comley announced job cuts were imminent and far greater than had been originally forecast.
“Only a week ago, Kate Lundy said she was pleased there would be no forced redundancies”, Senator Humphries said today.
China accuses Australia as Bonn climate talks founder
News out of the Bonn climate talks sounds familiar –
“Beijing lashes Canberra as carbon talks stall”
then from the Guardian –
“Bonn climate talks end in discord and disappointment”
and USAToday asks –
“Is China poor? Key question at climate talks”
Amidst all the posturing rhetoric it might be useful to see some facts charted.
First the magnitude of Chinese carbon dioxide emissions compared to Australia
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Australia could decarbonize back to the stoneage and the effect on Global emissions would not be measurable.
A chart of Chinese emissions compared to major global groupings.
A chart of Australian export income from coal –
larger version from source.
Australian hockey stick – whatever happened to the Great Barrier Reef coral time series ?
We have all heard now of the Gergis et al 2012 paper – “Evidence of unusual late 20th century warming from an Australasian temperature reconstruction spanning the last millennium”. Dr Joelle Gergis participated in “Winning the guerrilla war on climate change…” as Science met Parliament in 2010.
Sceptic blogs including Anthony Watts, Australian Climate Madness and John Ray have run comment.
I too was taken by their graphics Figs 3,4,5 & 6 which looked to show the 20th C only just warmer than past warm peaks – but my main interest was caught by the complete absence of coral time series from the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) – see the map for yourself.
Now we all know that hundreds of millions of taxpayer $s over decades have been spent studying the GBR including coral cores and how can it be that Gergis et al neatly arabesque past all of that huge scientific resource.
I am hoping readers will have some insights as to why the large database of GBR coral timeseries has been ignored.
Before leaving – I noted on page 10 of 54 – line 225 this gem suggesting a rigorous cherry picking was going on. “Only records that were significantly (p<0.05) correlated with the detrended instrumental target over the 1921-1990 period were selected for analysis." Note that "instrumental target" means HadCRUT3v see Fig 2 - so if a series did not agree with the UHI affected Jones et al temperature trend - it was tossed out.
New paper contends that carbon dioxide causes less than 50% of the greenhouse effect
Timothy Curtin, “Applying Econometrics to the Carbon Dioxide “Control
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Download a copy and lets have your views.
UK Government see-sawing with costs & benefits of their Climate Change Bill 2008
I was amazed to hear reports quoting UK MP Peter Lilley that the Climate Change Bill 2008 “….puts the Bill’s potential cost as up to £205bn, it says the maximum benefits of this massive expenditure is £110bn(out to 2050).” BBC article from Nov 2008.
I thought, surely no rational society would do something so harmful to itself.
In March 2009 the Labour Government drastically revised the costs & benefits which are now as in this screen-shot.
What a descent into fairyland – and of course the huge and utterly illusory benefits are pumped up by the benefits of UK emission reductions around the world (page 7 of the pdf).
Do readers have an idea where the UK Govt is with all this now in May 2012 ?
Scandal at ANU over claims of “death threats” in emails
We all remember the story that ran viral last June about death threats in emails to Australian National University staff. It even ran overseas – here is The Guardian masthead for 6 June last year.
Now it has taken near a year but Sydney blogger Simon Turnill has had a huge FOI win in discovering that the emails contained no such threats. Read his story.
Why are we sceptics not surprised at this eventual outcome – so basic facts got hopelessly exaggerated by IPCC supportive scientists at ANU – so!! – and what does it say about about the rigor of higher level management processes at ANU. What a shocker.
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I see nothing today in the Fairfax owned Canberra Times, home of ANU – not keen to rock any boats eh. Note to read the story at The Australian – Google – Climate scientists’ claims of email death threats go up in smoke – then read full version.
Vote on the new “climate change” poll at the ABC Q & A site
I see the “dismissives” have quickly made their presence felt over the loaded questions – 1929 votes as at 8.45am 27 Apr 2012. Only takes a few minutes – go on – a little chance to strike back at the years of disgusting Govt propaganda on climate.
You know how the warmists parrot on that “satellites agree with surface temperatures” – not any more – they should check the data.
Half a decade back you could make the case that trends 1979-2005 in the old land only CRUTem2 were not too different from University of Alabama at Huntsville AMSU satellite based lower troposphere trends.
The introduction of the UKMO dominated CRUTem3 in 2006 saw the land trends 1979-2005 blow out and the just introduced CRUTem4 of Dr Phil Jones et al has increased the warming trend 1979-2010 again over the earlier CRUTems and satellites.
So the next time somebody says to you, “…well anyway the satellite temperature trends agree with the surface…”..
You should ask them to check the numbers because it simply is not so anymore.