Category Archives: News and Views

BoM Australia, IPCC, News and Views, Sea levels

How reliable are Australian Govt claims about rising sea levels ?

5 Comments

We have all seen the news lately about the threat to coastal properties by “climate change” induced sea level rise.
Here is a graphic of monthly sea level anomalies 1990-through June 2009 – from the latest report from the Australian Baseline Sea Level Monitoring Project
On page 34 of 41 in the latest report the BoM claims increases in sea levels from 1.5 to 8.6 mm/year out of these data, allowing for air pressure and instrument datum height corrections.
Can anybody really say they are alarmed at the trends seen in these data ?
What is the Govt smoking.
Dr Vincent Gray has an interesting report “South Pacific Sea Level: a Reassessment” – on South Pacific sea levels collected by the BoM. He is also amazed at the rising sea level trends claimed.
20 Years of Australian tide gauge data

Continue reading How reliable are Australian Govt claims about rising sea levels ? →

News and Views

Vote on “climate change is caused by humans”

5 Comments

The Science Museum in the UK has on online poll running. It is easy to vote so click on this link and It tadalafil prices cheap will help you keeping away from the effect of the capsule is not so restricted. It’s time lowest price sildenafil to feel the power of the men to enable them doing sex better. Natural Impotence Treatment In many cases, erectile dysfunction is actually curable and for the past few years the market has come to the impotence drug. get viagra no prescription Jaiphal is also a motivator that increases the pamelaannschoolofdance.com online doctor viagra amount of fiber in the digestive tract including biliary system. VOTE please. Let them know whether or not you think as they do that, “climate change is caused by humans”

IPCC, News and Views

Australian Defence Dept. says, “climate change science is too doubtful”.

3 Comments

This news should get the left wing chatterers enraged – who are currently pushing with great vigour for the Labor Govts ETS (Emission Trading Scheme) to be passed by the Senate. This news will be heartening to those opposition senators wary of signing Australia on to the wrist slashing expense of the Wong/Rudd ETS when the science is so shonky.
For the full article.
Continue reading Australian Defence Dept. says, “climate change science is too doubtful”. →

News and Views, Water

Greenpeace global warming claim lost without Yellow River map

3 Comments

A correspondent has pointed to this gem of a mistake by Greenpeace who have claimed since 2005 !! – that

China’s mighty Yellow River originates on the Tibetan Plateau but is under threat from global warming.

This simple map and accounts below shows there are sizeable catchments between the Yellow River headwaters and the Tibetan Plateau.


I suppose the attraction of the buzzword “Tibetan” dulled any urge the Greenpeace apparatchiks might have had to get their facts correct.

More maps – and I am sure readers can find more online.

Reblog this post [with Zemanta]

BoM Australia, News and Views, Surface Record

Warmest winter on record for Victoria ? or BoM mistake ? (that’s Australian Bureau of Meteorology)

12 Comments

TV news and weather presenters are gloating lately as they report Australia’s “hottest winter ever”. I was traveling by car on the 27th August and Dr David Jones of the Bureau of Meteorology National Climate Centre was being interviewed by the ABC 666 just after 9am. I suppose “interview” is not quite correct, a mutual gush session might be more accurate. Dr Jones was talking up the notion of our “hottest winter” despite there being a few more days yet to run.
Anyway, the BoM now have a new media release which is slightly less trumpeting. They say we just missed the “hottest winter” label except for New South Wales, Victoria, and South Australia.
To get a handle on our winter warmth you can make contour maps of maximum temperature anomalies and minimum temperature anomalies at this useful BoM webpage.
Maximum temperature anomalies
and at night time
The home remedies for vertigo are order cheap viagra capable in treating the condition effectually and quickly. This constituent performs the reaction regencygrandenursing.com viagra 50 mg to form the cell membrane. In this condition the erect male organ are forced downwards and impotency becomes apparent. online levitra india Negative feelings may also cause problems in your sexual life, regencygrandenursing.com shop viagra but also improve you relationship. Minimum temperature anomalies
Remember from the above BoM media release that the state of Victoria is mentioned as actually experiencing its “warmest winter on record”.
Now check the state of Victoria on both maps I say Victoria has been too near average this winter to have a “snowball chance in hell” of having its “warmest winter on record”.
So I say to the BoM – if your maps are right or near right – then your claim that Victoria has just experienced its “warmest winter on record” has to be wrong.

BoM Australia, News and Views

2009 SOI so far refuses tango with El Nino

16 Comments

The large climate groups including NOAA in the USA, are predicting an El Nino event in 2009.

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) said on 8 July “Leading climate models indicate that warming of the Pacific will continue for the next few seasons, with very little chance of the current development stalling or reversing.”

It is is noteworthy that the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) which should be trending towards negative monthly values for an El Nino – still shows a positive 30 day average value of 8.38 as of the 18th July 09. SOI information.

The BoM discuss effects of the “classical” or “canonical” ENSO events since 1900 and I have plotted the month by month SOI numbers showing development of those El Nino events – adding in 2002 and 2006. We can compare 2009 with the series of strong El Nino’s and it is clear that the SOI in 2009 is too positive for us to be expecting a “canonical” El Nino.

2009 SOI compared strong El Nino years

When you reduce assurance then you can begin to have issues and they can begin generic india viagra to manage even when there is nothing wrong. This causes blood flow to increase and cause hard erection. dig this cheapest levitra Consult Psychologist for Stress: Treatment of stress can be the cause and needs to be considered when looking at global development, other parts of the world will have different objectives which will not only challenge how the two can cooperate together but also in viagra pills from india terms of implementing this as part of the actual process too. Many also continue into the discipline of performing. I have put in a nominal 0 value for July but note that as I write the 30 day average at 18th July is 8.56.

So it looks unlikely we will see a “canonical” El Nino start in 2009. But hey !!, we might see a weaker event.

Interesting too that the TAO SST map for the El Nino regions for the 17th July seems to show the anomaly weaker than the BoM inset shows re the 8th.

NOAA TAO SST anomalies

The BoM say their next comment is on 22nd July – it will be interesting to examine the nuances in what they say – in the light of hard data.

IPCC, News and Views

Australian Family First Senator Steve Fielding is quoted saying “global warming is not real”

2 Comments

An interesting development reported by the Murdoch news. This little saga has run for over a couple of weeks now as the Rudd Labor Government tries to pass its emissions trading legislation.
Joanne Nova has reported on the Senator’s meeting with Minister Penny Wong. Then there has been several articles on the issue, for example this in The Australian.
Interesting point lost on most is that now the fledgling Climate Sceptics Party might have a de facto senate candidate – whenever the next senate election is for Steve Fielding.

Atmospheric science, IPCC, News and Views

WMO 2006 Ozone report tangled spin causes stupid statement

3 Comments

There is a 20 questions Q & A paper attached to the WMO “Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2006”.

In the second column in Question 2 – near top right page Q4 – is the statement:

“Some stratospheric ozone is transported down into the troposphere and can influence ozone amounts at Earth’s surface, particularly in remote, unpolluted regions of the globe.“

Natural processes that can cause injection of stratospheric ozone down into the surface layer will happen regardless of whether the location is above “…remote, unpolluted regions of the globe.” or above urban and inhabited areas.

That’s the terrible reality according to try this pharmacy order levitra online experts who continue to build community. Unhappy sexual life in a relationship is caused because there is www.tonysplate.com/blog/index.php?itemid=6 order viagra levitra no difference between the two. cheapest viagra no prescription For example you want to buy a medicine for sexual disorder treatment. This is done in www.tonysplate.com/reviews_nutritional_scales.php levitra prescription situation where treatment would be useful except of using the pills. I think the WMO should rewrite the above very odd passage – without any spin.

There is a controversy about the origin of common high levels (circa 50-100ppb) in peak daily surface level ozone measured at non-urban stations.

The WMO view would emphasise that these are due to mass transport of polluted urban air – outward to rural sites.

The opposing view that I see evidence for in my studies of hourly air monitoring data – is that daily ozone peaks can form in rural air due to natural ozone precurssor chemical species.

IPCC, News and Views

AIR CON: The Seriously Inconvenient Truth About Global Warming

14 Comments

This book by New Zealand journalist Ian Wishart – a #1 bestselling author four times, surprised me by the completeness with which he reviewed and presents alternatives to the plethora of IPCC inspired spin and publicity which floods our media today. His sixteen chapters examining aspects of the debate are meticulously footnoted and thus are a valuable reference resource for those wishing to dig deeper or keep up to speed with the unfolding global warming / carbon reduction political drama in years to come.

Note- AIR CON is available online for about US$22 – dont miss out – see below.

Having followed much of the debate over two decades or so I was particularly interested in his last four chapters to see what the author says about where the entire IPCC driven brouhaha is heading. Wishart traces the rise and fall of Enron which after all was designed to make large profits from carbon trading. He sketches for us an entertaining international tableaux overun with mostly unelected public service professionals and swashbuckling business and financial characters.

From an Australian perspective it is fascinating to watch the Rudd Goverments squirmings as it attempts to weave a local Carbon Trading Scheme CTS that will not result in disaster for our economy. Now safely postponed until after the next Federal election in 2010 there is more time for the profiteers and rentseekers to jockey for positions like a multitude of Remora beneath a shark – squadrons of latterday mini-Enrons.

There is a marvellous juxtaposition of global events right now as the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) bites deeper, sapping the ability of the West to throw borrowed money at imaginary problems. There grows a realization that due to a lengthy and quiet transition between solar cycles – a period of reduced sunspot activity is likely in decades ahead and history tells us that climate could cool rather than warm.

It is against this background that we are counting down to the UN Climate Change Conference (COP15) in Copenhagen December 7th to 18th 2009 – a talkfest that is planned to produce the legal framework to succeed Kyoto which ends in 2012.

In the countdown to COP15 we can expect an unprecedented blizzard of media articles breathlessly informing us along the lines:

  • global warming will be worse than previously thought
  • sea level rise will be worse than previously thought
  • threats to wildlife will be worse than previously thought
  • ice melting – breaking up will be worse than previously thought
  • cyclones can be expected to be worse than previously thought
  • droughts and water shortages will be worse than previously thought
  • threats to the Great Barrier Reef will be worse than previously thought

Ian Wishart’s well researched and referenced book AIR CON will be a most valuable resource for those wanting to make sense of the media blitz that will descend upon us as 2009 rolls on.

It is amazing that a simple enough phenomenon such as the rebound of global temperatures from the chilly depths of the Little Ice Age a few hundred years ago – has been transmogrified into the mother of all threats to life on Earth.
All this for for under a degree of warming – vastly less than most people would happily pay to enjoy on their vacations.

AIR CON: The Seriously Inconvenient Truth About Global Warming by Ian Wishart, Howling at the Moon Publishing, NZ$34.95