Greens vote percentage hits ceiling

When we hear all the ABC/Fairfax media puff from Di Natale about how great the Greens are doing and how he needs to be in the Leaders debates – just remember they only polled 8.89% in the Senate.

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5 thoughts on “Greens vote percentage hits ceiling”

  1. The number of Greens senators will reduce. There will be only one returned in each state except Tasmania where they may get 2. In SA the Greens (S H-Y) will be lucky to get in but in an ordinary election with a lower quota she would have been tossed out. She will need to stand gain in 3 years time when she will lose.
    Hopefully there will be few greens left after the next election. The Greens started in Tasmania and that is where they will fold on their knees begging for more hand-outs after having ruined the state.

  2. My heart bled for the Greens on seeing this headline –
    Election 2016: Nick McKim not speculating on Greens vote drop as nervous wait continues
    www.abc.net.au/news/2016-07-05/election-2016-greens–nick-mckim-not-speculating-on-vote-drop/7571932?section=tas

    I checked Tas Greens Senate percentages at past Fed elections –
    2016 – 11.2%
    2013 – 11.67%
    2010 – 20.33%
    2007 – 18.13%
    2004 – 13,29%
    So the big drop was in 2013 – I hope you are correct cement and their vote share remains weak.

  3. Take a look at the Senate Results page at this link (www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2016/results/senate/)

    At the top is the National Overview, which has 11 senate seats still in doubt.

    Note that it has the Greens on 3 definite and 3 likely. I think that they will probably get two more, and with 8 Senators, that’s two less than they had prior to this election.

    Now, all of those Greens senators were the last elected, so all 8 of them will be up for re-election at the next half senate election, where they will now need double the percentage for a full quota,

    So, those 8 will become 6. However, note here that in three States at a DD, where they only need half percentage for a full quota, three of those States can barely manage enough for One, with SHY in SA only managing three quarters of one at this DD, so, there is the chance that they may only get three elected at the next half senate election, four at best.

    It will take two full cycles (six years) for them to even get back to where they are now.

    The rise of the alternative parties influence has seen the Greens vote diminish.

    Keep in mind two things here, (a) a Party needs five members in total to have full Party Status in the Parliament, and (b) they cannot hold a half senate election for another 2 years, so if there is a snap poll soon, it can ONLY be for the House, and not the senate.

    Puts De Natale’s joyous rant on Saturday night right back into perspective.

    Tony.

  4. I had a look at the first set of figures for Mayo electorate and the Green vote is highest in those towns with the most expensive real estate. And lowest in those towns with farms around them.

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