How does the BoM get it so wrong so often? Not one square centimetre of Australia was predicted to be cooler than normal – yet millions of square kms turned out cooler than normal.
There really needs to be mass sackings.
BoM temperature Outlook winter 2014
BoM maps of actual temperature anomalies
It is obviously impossible to get these three month forecasts near correct often enough to be worthwhile – so why waste the time and money.
The BOM is so predictable, just like their cousins at the UK MET with their BBQ summers. Confirmation bias seems to be endemic among government funded “climate scientists”? (Apologies to JoNova)
Last month they had a go at a 3 month forecast. Have to watch – or maybe not.
Tas aug 13
Bureau of Meterology forecaster Simon McCulloch is predicting the warmer weather will continue.
“For the next three months, the maximum and minimum temperatures are likely to be higher than average,”
“But there’s no strong signal for rainfall so expect average rainfall amounts for the next three months.”
www.weatherzone.com.au/news/tasmanians-swap-slippers-for-ice-cream-as-winter-warms-up/25097
It’s a pity, really, that BoM did get it wrong. The crop yields will be excellent this year, though would have been extraordinary if it were 2-3C warmer. Only frost and hail can stop it now.
Yes it seems Tasmania is the “headquarters of heat” till end November – plus above average rain
www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/archive/outlooks/20140828-outlook.shtml
Will try and remember to check the real world anomalies in December.
Ohhh you silly impatient boy you just have to wait until the BoM does their “homogenising” everybody know the raw temperatures can’t be trusted!!
And this is a surprise to who?
No one of course.
This is their default forecast. Im pretty sure they don’t even work at the BOM.
Every month on the 20th they upload the files from their gondolas in venice.
What other explanation could you have for such utter garbage??