Solar Cycle 23 not ending yet

Download a PowerPoint presentation of David Archibald’s latest edit of his paper, “The Past and Future of Climate” presented at the Lavoisier Conference in Melbourne June 2007.
This is my 4th posting since late 2006 on this subject of contrasting forecasts for solar cycle 24, click below for links to earlier posts.

On December 16 I drew attention to;
Contrasting forecasts for Solar Cycle 24

then a couple of months later I posted
Has anybody seen any recent sunspots ?
February 23rd, 2007

Then on March 27 I posted David Archibald’s new paper predicting global cooling ahead;
The Past and Future of Climate

56 thoughts on “Solar Cycle 23 not ending yet”

  1. Look at the GISS av temp for Jan 2008 – down about .28 degrees from Dec and .43 from Oct 2007 Brrrrrrrr.

  2. If we are in fact entering a cooling period doesn’t that call for the same action i.e. reduced fossil fuel use. Imagine what this will do to energy costs.

  3. Two important trends have truly “greened” the planet over the past several decades. Those two trends are mild planet-wide warming driven by the sun in conjunction with elevated levels of CO2 driven by mankind, both of which enhance plant growth. What’s not to like about that? Environmentalists are not happy though. Maybe they are concerned about maintaining their donation cash flows. Now we are looking at Peak Warming and thus cooler global temperatures over the next several decades in conjunction with declining fuels avalability due to the Peak Oil Crises, which no politician or media wonk dare discuss in public. Welcome to George Orwell’s “1984”. We have arrived, though a little late. I wonder if the political elite really believe people will stand still for carbon offset taxes and “green fees”? Pay a tax, change the weather? Mmmmm, I don’t think so.

  4. I just returned from visiting Yellowstone and was struck by the devastation of the 1988 fires, which were preceeded by acute drought and record setting dry lightening. I began to wonder what solar activity occured leading up the 1988 fire storms. Solar cycle 22 started just a couple of years before that summer of drought and dry lightening. Check this out. Relative to other cycles, that solar cycle had 1) a very fast rise time – 2.8 years, 2) a very short cycle length – 9.7 years, 3) a high minimum sun spot number – 12.3, and 4) a high maximum sun spot number – 158.5
    “Cycle 22 certainly provided us with many highlights. Early in the cycle the smoothed sunspot number (determined by the number of sunspots visible on the sun and used as the traditional measure of the cycle) climbed rapidly; in fact more rapidly than for any previously recorded cycle. This caused many to predict that it would eclipse Cycle 19 (peak sunspot number of 201) as the highest cycle on record. This was not to be as the sunspot number ceased climbing in early 1989 and reached a maximum in July of that year. Whilst not of record amplitude, Cycle 22 still rated as 4th of the recorded cycles and continued the run of recent large solar cycles (Cycles 18, 19 and 21 were all exceptional!). A very notable feature of Cycle 22 was that it had the shortest rise from minimum to maximum of any recorded cycle.”
    Material Prepared by Richard Thompson. © Copyright IPS – Radio and Space Services.

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