BoM Spring 2011 temperature model Outlooks – complete incompetency year after year

First we note that both temperature models predict overall too warm – the minimum temperature model is worst – how does the BoM churn this rubbish out month after month without either improving results or scrapping the entire useless money-wasting Outlook project.

For maximum temperatures – the warm prediction in the tropics turned out to be cool. And the peak warmth in SE Sth Aust and Western Vic failed to eventuate.

For minimum temperatures – unlike the Outlook model – vast areas of Australia were cooler than average.

The predicted warmth in SE Sth Aust and Western Vic failed to show up in real world thermometers. And the small area predicted cool in Eastern Australia – that failed too – being mostly warmer than normal.
The BoM seem to be experts in making predictions that turn out exactly wrong.
Read more of my critiques of BoM poor performance.

4 thoughts on “BoM Spring 2011 temperature model Outlooks – complete incompetency year after year”

  1. Groundhog day at the BOM…nothing changes, they ought to get out more. Or get a real job.
    Thanks for keeping them honest Warwick…but it seems to be falling on deaf ears.

  2. Great News! Thanks to all the hard working geniuses at BoM, we have a good handle on the predicted maximum and minimum temperatures for the coming Summer. All we have to do to get a completely accurate forecast of upcoming temperatures from BoM is look at their forecast and realize that the actual temperatures will be the exact opposite of their predictions. Isn’t it great to live in these times of enlightenment!

  3. Heard on the ABC tonight that Brisbane had the coldest December day since 1888. Wow, are some at the ABC starting to realise that global warming maybe a myth and that climate change occurs in cycles. I also heard (the first time) an ABC commentator talk to a meteorologist from Weatherzone (www.weatherzone.com.au/about/about.jsp ) They do a better job than BOM using the same information- I get free daily emailed forcasts one week out.

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