In late February the BoM forecast March and April rain as follows.
Now rain to date for March (1st to 26th) shows Australia was wet in the west and dry to average in the east- sort of exact opposite of the above March rain Outlook.
Now note the February Outlook for April in top panel forecasting a dry April.
Contrast that with the new April rain Outlook just issued forecasting a widespread wet.
Who could believe a word the BoM utters when they keep changing predictions.
The ABC reports – Andrew ‘Twiggy’ Forrest calls for harvesting of rivers, underground aquifers to droughtproof agricultural areas. They report – “Mr Forrest wants to droughtproof Australia.” It reads to me like a push to exploit water resources in the north of Australia and I am sure more could be done along those lines. The coalition was talking about using northern water resources in early 2013 – that seems to have sunk lately.
Good luck to Mr Forrest pushing his ideas but we are light years from achieving sensible water reforms. The Murray Darling Basin plan still proposes to waste huge amounts of water to flush the Murray mouth, pandering to South Australia.
Just look at the waste of Melbourne water supply Thomson Dam water by environmental flows – 35% through the dryer years 2002-2009. Any proposal in the north will meet trenchant opposition from several well known quarters. I doubt any serious projects could get up with our MSM so GreenLeft.
I just hope people in power are listening to the farmers who want an end to the green nonsense of pushing for more water to be wasted down to the sea.
Farmers warn Murray Darling Basin Plan needs to end, but scientists say signs of river system recovery on display
Abolishing the Murray Darling Basin Commission would be a plus.
A major rain event starting in Alice Springs ~7th and running about a week destroyed the BoM dry prediction. I have not seen a reason quoted for that – did the jetstream wobble – for sure the moonsoon belt fired up to the south. I wonder how useful this rain Outlook was.
January rain Outlook
January actual rain percentages – you can make maps of other parameters
The BBC is carrying – South Australia fires: Hopes rise of halting Adelaide blaze – I thought the area was getting its second day with some rain to help firefighters.
At the exact same time the ABC is reporting the BoM – Weather bureau warns South Australia could experience heaviest rainfall in 30 years –
I was away all yesterday in the boondocks and heard on the car radio news of the Brisbane storms with hail and damage. Brisbane smashed by storm super cell: Premier calls in Army to help with clean-up –
I just post this map of rain up to 9am on the 28th (recorded up to 4am) to float the idea again that the urban heat island can attract rain. The mechanism could be due to the man made increased albedo contrasts accentuating the formation of convective storm cells. I am interested to see what readers think. I realize there is a greater concentration of rain gauges in SE Queensland.
I have had previous posts on this subject but not on Brisbane. In February I posted – Did the Adelaide urban heat island (UHI) increase rain there last night? and there is a link there to an example from Melbourne. I am sure I have read of examples from books and published papers.
Funny that this dam often overflows – 2013 overflow events – yet the nearby Perth water supply dams are near useless – I wonder why? Surely it could not be such a simple thing as managing catchment vegetation sensibly? In 2012 I wrote to the WA Minister on this issue – my letter and his reply is here.
Just a bunch of too-green-climate-change-saluting-doomsters – Wentworth Group followers – pushers for more expensive water – pushers for high environmental flows – did they ever speak out against anti-damism? – shut them down. We need public servants working to bring water to the people, agriculture and industry at the best cost. How radical is that?
Like resources – water is a State issue anyway – not Federal. The NWC is just another ill considered Howard Govt initiative that seemed like a good idea at the time. While they are at it – the Murray Darling Basin Authority should be pared back to the barest essentials or done away with – another useless water quango.