AEMO is fine tuning their story with another edition out.
– at least this edition has a better map. Any idea of the blackout being caused by wind blowing over transmission towers seems to be vanishing. Now the blackout seems due to wind generators cutting out after being subjected to a specified number of faults. Alan Moran says – South Australian blackout: it was, in fact, caused by the windfarms – he also raises issue that consumers who have suffered losses could claim compo.
Followup stories on the ABC –
SA Treasurer vainly beating his drum that wind power is never to blame.
Chris Uhlmann reviews the AEMO update
We now have 5min data which shows that wind on the 28th was lower than the peak on the 26th despite wind being stronger on 28th.
Here is a table over 3 hours – When you compare demand against – import + gas + wind it looks as though they lacked reserve. But there is also rooftop solar to factor in.
Just major voting groups percentages – data mostly from ACTEC and the ABC. The hordes of various “independents” in early ACT elections seems remarkable. Greens must be annoyed their big totals in 2008 have melted – the ACT should be GreenLeftie heaven. One seat in doubt as Labor maintains grip – Interesting that the ACT Libs did not offer a policy difference with the ACT Govt renewables energy target of sourcing 100% renewable energy by 2020.
My emails asking for an audit are in comments.
My Table below from 15 Sep – of catchment stations with 2016 rain totals updated through August shows that the Mundaring Weir/Dam, Victoria Dam, Churchmans Brook, Serpentine Main Dam and Wungong Dam rain data all show many examples of disparate monthly totals that require an audit.
AEMO daily Regional Reference Price for South Australia clearly fudged – if this carries on their data will be meaningless. 4th Oct RRP was originally minus $387.
Full size table
For 4 hours now South Australian electricity prices have been zero or negative. How do we expect to run a grid reliably when such a lunatic concept is promulgated by AEMO the grid authority.
Price is the heavy line – demand is thin pale line.
Here is the SA page at the Grid Public Knowledge wwwsite by Peter Bobroff.
Looking ahead 2 years to 2018 electricity grid authority AEMO predicts reserve shortfalls in South Australia – check the box for SA
Government’s energy policy worsened South Australian state-wide blackout
Are scales falling from State Govt eyes too?
Talk on YouTube – No Certain Doom: On the Accuracy of Projected Global Average Surface Air Temperatures
Patrick Frank, PhD presents at the 34th Annual DDP meeting, July 10, 2016, Omaha, Nebraska. Dr. Frank, a chemist at the Synchrotron Radiation Lightsource (SLAC) at Stanford University, has authored 68 peer-reviewed publications.
Chris Gillham in Perth has been monitoring mean daily temperatures at Perth BoM sites and says Perth Airport 9021 is a shoo-in to have the coldest September mean since opening in 1944. Perth Metro 9225 in Mount Lawley has only been open from Jan 1994 replaced Perth Regional Office 9034 which commenced 1897 and underwent various moves before ending up in East Perth. Progress with temperature updates can be checked at AWN or the BoM.
Chris has a page discussing the history of various Perth weather stations since 1897. I will update as the final numbers are available and hope to include other Perth region sites such as Pearce – Jandakot – Medina etc It is amazing we can have a month like this in the teeth of the vast Perth urban heat island.
Rely on wind power – decommission your reliable coal fired generators – who could be surprised at a blackout. Nemwatch. As I write the AEMO Electricity Price and Demand www site shows none of their usual charts & data.