BoM night-time temperature 3 month Outlook about 5 degrees warmer than real world

They got the broad shape OK – but temperatures turned out about 5 degrees cooler than the BoM expected. Now the real world below. The max temp Outlook still exaggerated expected warmth but was pretty fair for Outlooks, and the rain Outlook was realistic – you can make maps to compare at this BoM page.

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Australian Climate Commission presents selective picture of Queensland rain history

The Australian Climate Commission pdf paper – “THE CRITICAL DECADE Queensland climate impacts and opportunities” has a Figure 3 shown below. Which shows how Queensland has become drier in the 1970-2011 period. But taking another view of Queensland rain data – this BoM chart of Qld annual rain anomalies 1900 to 2011 shows the cyclic [...]