BoM rain Outlook for March www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/outlooks/archive/20230223-outlook.shtml Note dry NSW mid-west – wet NSW coast – note the dry near Mt Isa and belt east of Longreach – note dry Wagin-Perth – wet Hobart Now lets check reality – Australian rain percentages for the month to date www.bom.gov.au/climate/maps/rainfall/?variable=rainfall&map=percent&period=cmonth®ion=nat&year=2023&month=03&day=28 You can home in on States for greater … Continue reading BoM March23 rain Outlook many fails→
We all know media headlines and news have been mentioning cold conditions in south east Queensland and the Australian south-east. So checkout the BoM minimum T Outlook for June 2022 published on 26th May. Then compare with the string of daily Minimum anomalies starting 1st June – enjoy. Min T Outlook for June 2022 www.bom.gov.au/jsp/sco/archive/index.jsp?map=tmin&outlook=median&period=month1&year=2022&month=5&day=26&y=2022&m=5&d=26 … Continue reading BoM min T Outlook for June looks detached from reality→
UAH have finally brought out their global map of lower troposphere anomalies for March 2022. The satellite brightness sounders found overall decidedly unremarkable temperatures from the lower troposhere (surface to approx 8kms) across the wide brown land. The BoM March Outlook for max temperature (daylight) Predicted much warmer than UAH satellites measured. The BoM March … Continue reading Surreal March BoM Temperature Outlooks compared to UAH satellites→
The links should take you direct to the maps. Jan 2022 rain Outlook disaster Monthly rainfall percentages for Australia 01/01/2022 – 31/01/2022 actual result Jan 2022 Max temperature Outlook disaster Jan 2022 Max temperature anomaly actual result Jan 2022 Min temperature Outlook disaster Jan 2022 Min temperature anomaly actual result
BoM Outlook predictions for November max and min temperatures made on 28th October failed in may areas but the minimum Outlook was worst. Max (day-time) Outlook — Max anomaly map actual result Min (night-time) Outlook — Min anomaly map actual result
Links here to BoM Outlook maps for winter vs maps for rain percentage and max & min temperature anomalies all for winter. Rain Winter Outlook vs Rain Winter percentage Max temp Winter Outlook vs Max temp Winter anomalies Min temp Winter Outlook vs Min temp Winter anomalies
The Canterbury region has just been flooded with a “one-in-100-year event” – yet the NIWA Outlook was for “below average rain”. Should be mass sackings over the ditch. I see MetService has a message –[Cumulative Rainfall Map Unavailable – Unfortunately the cumulative rainfall maps have not captured the recent heavy rainfall accurately and have been … Continue reading NZ NIWA rain Outlook huge fail→
Rainfall outlook map Australia for April 2021 posted on 25 March. April 2021 rainfall percentages for Australia 01/04/2021 – 30/04/2021 The temperature Outlooks were nothing special either The Max t Outlook was mostly for a cooler Australia but the results show the wide brown land had mostly warmer days. April 2021 mean maximum temperature anomaly … Continue reading BoM Rain Outlook for April 2021 proven wrong→
Checkout the rainfall Outlook for March and compare with month to date rainfall percentages for Australia and you will see the small areas on the east coast where BoM can claim success. Set against the vast areas of heavy March rainfall elsewhere across wide brown land where BoM Outlook has had stellar failure. Below here … Continue reading BoM rain Outlook stellar fail for March→
I noticed the BoM minimum temperature Outlook map for November was a blaze of red predicting that huge areas of the wide brown land had an 80% chance of having way-way-hot nights. And not 1 square centimetre of Oz was predicted to enjoy cooler than average nights. Larger map. If you go to the current … Continue reading BoM November Outlook fails already→
Primarily exposing faulty methodologies behind global temperature trend compilations