The Murdoch press website PerthNow reports the Perth BoM pointing out that Perth has had another hot year. I also note how the BoM beats this up, “It’s an indication that Perth is warming and that is consistent with the whole of the South-West of WA and consistent with global temperatures as well,”.
Is the BoM so lacking in perspective that they can not bring themselves to mention the fact that ~70% of Australia looks to be having a cooler than average year using the BoM map data from 1 Dec 2010 to 30 Nov 2011. And I have not even started on about the Perth UHI – not to mention the history of the changing Perth instruments site.
It is nice to see a healthy scepticism in the comments to the PerthNow article.
All posts by Warwick Hughes
US Dept of Energy – should come under more scrutiny
I see that Fox News has latched on to the Climategate2 email(s) revealing Phil Jones saying the DoE were happy with him not releasing station data. They also quote from the DoE email to me in 2005 where after asking for station data I was told – that the DoE had no data and that Phil Jones was not obligated under the terms of his DoE funding to supply them with data.
This follows on from the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) late November FOI action in the US to get the DoE to reveal their correspondence with Phil Jones from 2007. We await with interest the result of the CEI efforts. It has puzzled me over several years that no US org has filed an FOI application with their DoE. A Phil Jones email revealed in Climategate2 has him saying that the DoE which was funding him (since 1979 Phil) wanted the data, “..to be well hidden.” Phil goes on to say – “I’ve discussed this with the main funder (US Dept of Energy) in the past and they are happy about not releasing the original station data.”
It is important to know that this was not always the case. Following the publishing of the Jones et al 1986 hemispheric papers which “birthed” global warming – the DoE CDIAC division published two books – TR022 (Northern Hemisphere) and TR027 Southern – which set out in fair detail the Jones et al methods. These books were distributed free with data diskettes to anybody who asked for them – and I bet can still be found in many US public libraries. There was an updated combined volumes published in 1991 which I still have but that was the last edition I know of – I have posted pdf files of the 1991 book downloadable here.
When Phil Jones published his 1994 “Hemispheric surface air temperature variations: a reanalysis and an update to 1993.” J Clim 7:1794-1802 – no supporting documentation books were published – and that is the case to this day. So sometime in the mid 1990’s somebody in the DoE decided to cease publishing the books which revealed much about the Jones data and methods.
Have parts of Victoria cooled since the 19C ?
Ian Bryce an Industrial Chemist with long experience in the tomato industry has sent me in this 5 page pdf paper commenting on raw temperature data from the Echuca – Benalla region in Victoria.
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I note that Ken Stewart has many graphic comparisons of station data from 1910 at his website. This photo from State Library online photo search shows the stevenson screen in the Echuca Post Office yard in 1944. No ideal exposure there.
Durban COP17 realities revealed in collapsing Euro carbon price
The one year chart of ICE ECX EUA Futures just says it all about what was achieved at the Durban climate talkfest.
Our GreenLeft Canberra Govt recently set a carbon price @ AU$23 = currently EU17.5. – which is about 2.7 times the current European carbon price. Sustanon 250mg mainly used to increases viagra canada pharmacies energy require for aggression. Each dosage recommendsfor varying strength of tolerability in a user. The doctor you find should explain the procedure, take the time to educate you and answer your questions. They take care of all their legal issues, before and after their abacojet.com/consulting-services/ order levitra death. So I hope anybody thinking of buying Australian Carbon Credit Units or spending money setting up a Carbon Farming scheme – thinks very carefully about the value of the product.
Boss of International Council on Mining and Metals says Durban failure poses a “terrible risk” to mining
I saw this article linked at Kitcometals.com – the link is dead now but I kept a screen shot.
Sorry – I did not keep a copy of the text. There were a few sceptical comments – I could not get a comment in.
Can anybody recover this article ?
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I hope no Australian money is being wasted supporting the ICMM – group of London yuppies being kept in a way they wish. The author was Dr. R. Anthony (Tony) Hodge.
BoM Spring 2011 temperature model Outlooks – complete incompetency year after year
First we note that both temperature models predict overall too warm – the minimum temperature model is worst – how does the BoM churn this rubbish out month after month without either improving results or scrapping the entire useless money-wasting Outlook project.
For maximum temperatures – the warm prediction in the tropics turned out to be cool. And the peak warmth in SE Sth Aust and Western Vic failed to eventuate.
For minimum temperatures – unlike the Outlook model – vast areas of Australia were cooler than average.
The predicted warmth in SE Sth Aust and Western Vic failed to show up in real world thermometers. And the small area predicted cool in Eastern Australia – that failed too – being mostly warmer than normal.
The BoM seem to be experts in making predictions that turn out exactly wrong.
Read more of my critiques of BoM poor performance.
Murray Darling Basin new water wasting plan
Last year I wrote “MDB water-buy-back scheme redundant after rains” after the Govt released their report proposing to waste 4,000GL per year in environmental flows.
Now they have a new scheme to waste 2,750GL PA – only slightly less bad.
The new scheme too should be shelved in the National Interest because both Note: For best results we strongly recommend that men address the condition of ED (erectile Dysfunction) can be sorted quickly by involving certain and quick use of medicines that requires applying wouroud.com cheapest levitra of medical measures and thus finding timely benefits. Combining them with alcohol, nicotine, caffeine and other stimulants may be risky. An egg can remain alive for 2 days, whereas sperms for 5 days, after which, it flows out levitra 20 mg www.wouroud.com/index.php?ln=en in the form of periods. They are an levitra prescription ideal one for controlling colds, digestion issues, stress and skin problems. of these plans were produced by people who are true believers in IPCC Global Warming and Climate Change. So these schemes are tainted with IPCC rubbish science and failed model predictions from the outset.
Let us just put the latest effort in the bottom drawer where it belongs – and concentrate on gathering and promulgating reliable data about the MDB.
Climategate 2.0 breaks – 2 years after the main event
Amazing – get your own download here – looks to be 5000 emails plus other files. Looking forward to hearing about any interesting mails you find.
I have been told of this gem from the Jo Nova site.
<601> “David Jones”
subject: RE: African stations used in HadCRU global data set
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Thanks Phil for the input and paper. I will get back to you with comments next week. Fortunately in Australia our sceptics are rather scientifically incompetent. It is also easier for us in that we have a policy of providing any complainer with every single station observation when they question our data (this usually snows them) and the Australian data is in pretty good order anyway
No doubt there will be huge discussion on these 5000 odd emails for months to come around the blogs – links on right.
Updated carbon emissions defining the history of the global economy
I thought this graphic was worthwhile posting quickly just to show the scale of carbon emissions from China – which is a measure of the scale of growth in the Chinese economy. Europe and the west can continue to reduce emissions – aided & abetted by any Euroland weakness – but global emissions will continue to increase – as long as the Asian economic transformation continues.
The Chinese trend shows clearly the Chairman Mao “Great Leap Forward” 1960 and reaction after including famine. Then the “Cultural Revolution” is detected 1967-68 before modern influences gained control. The effects of the two oil shocks are noticed and also the late 1990’s “Asian Tigers” crisis then after 2000 – liftoff.
In late 2009 I posted the following chart
Global carbon emissions 1960-2008 and economic events
More recently I have used this chart to emphasize the scale of Chinese emissions compared to Australia.
Did Richard Muller really make this elementary error in his BEST project ?
I have just noticed an article by Jeff Id at “WattsUpWithThat” that says the BEST project analysing global temperature records – does this – “They detect steps in the data, chop the series at the steps and reassemble them.”
Jeff had a link to Climate Audit – and sure enough Steve has a “saw-tooth” diagram, Posted Oct 31, 2011 at 3:24 PM
As Steve says, “in terms of estimating “natural” temperature, the unsliced series would be a better index than concatenating the sliced segments.” Dead right.
As far as I can tell, this diagram expresses exactly what the two GISS diagrams did in 2001 – see from Hansen, J.E., R. Ruedy, Mki. Sato, M. Imhoff, W. Lawrence, D. Easterling, T. Peterson, and T. Karl 2001. A closer look at United States and global surface temperature change. J. Geophys. Res. 106, 23947-23963, doi:10.1029/2001JD000354. and a pdf can be downloaded.
I have a page here explaining the thing –
Also a blog post.