The future cost of Australia’s Carbon Tax revealed in Treasury modelling

Great article by Terry McCrann – by my calculations in 2020 we will be paying ~$117 per head to buy emission permits from overseas – as Terry McCrann points out – these could be from “Nigerian scam” operators.
By 2050 the Treasury modelling suggests we could be paying $2280 per head. Surely the Gillard Govt will not be able to sustain this huge confidence trick on the Australian electorate.
Full article archived. Continue reading The future cost of Australia’s Carbon Tax revealed in Treasury modelling

US Dept of Energy levelized electricity generating costs

I thought this Table was worth posting – so readers can compare / contrast with other cost data. Shows huge costs for solar PV and solar thermal.

The DoE numbers for Biomass seem low – maybe be from projects utilising existing waste material.
There are other DoE links here.

Is there any way out for Labor as the Gillard vs Rudd brawl rolls on ? We need an Australian Federal election NOW

This post will grow – but I wanted to give readers a chance to comment now on the fast moving developments as the Gillard and Rudd forces tear one another apart. I noticed in Kev747’s speech from Washington Thursday morning – he did not mention the Carbon Tax.
This chart shows the decay in Rudd’s support in the first half of 2010 –

but note only to the 50-50 zone – what would Gillard give for those numbers. Then the Rudd removal on 23 June marked RS – the Federal election on 21 August is marked with an E.

This shows the preferred PM % since the 2010 election – the midline is 40% – intervals 5%.

The slow improving of Abbott must terrify GreenLabor.

Should the Australian Government be subsidising jobs ?

In recent weeks there has been much publicity about job losses in the banking sector and also the threatened aluminium smelter at Point Henry in Victoria which was only ever built there by ALCOA to take advantage of cheap power generated from the Gippsland brown coal deposits. There has also been much comment on Govt subsidies to the car industry – which I was surprised to learn cost $7,000 per vehicle – not to mention the union featherbedding which these Govt handouts seem to encourage. I would have thought that in the case of South Australia – where I think much of the car industry is – their expanding mining sector could easily replace the job losses.
My own view is that our taxes should not be propping up uncompetitive industries – let them shut down. I wondered what readers think.

Many articles on electricity generation and renewable energy

Here is a useful link to a list of articles by Anton Lang for those seeking information on this very important subject.
Who really wants their reliable and cheap household electricity that we all take for granted – to get unreliable and expensive. Come on – who will vote for more unreliable and more expensive ?

Japanese raids on Darwin – understanding our history from 1942

I was amazed to hear our Governor General say in her speech at the 70th anniversary of the 19 Feb 1942 Japanese air raid on Darwin; that “Seventy years ago the tranquillity of Darwin was rocked. The unthinkable was happening: our nation was under enemy attack.
Unthinkable ? – what rot.
Japan had been invading China here and there under various pretexts since 1931 – Australia had been at war in Europe for over two years – the Japanese raid on Pearl Harbour had happened nearly two and a half months previous starting the Pacific phase of WWII seriously – since then the Japanese had been rampaging through SE Asia sweeping all before them – the Australian base at Rabaul was occupied by Japanese forces on 23 January 1942 – how could an attack on one of our Northern outposts be “unthinkable”.
What was “unthinkable” was the state of our defenses.

Australian national wealth eaten away by unpopularity of our GreenLabor Government

Chart replaced by this version with All Ords Index converted to a $US scale.
Thanks for that reminder Philip – I have this new chart from 2 Apr 2010 –

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I see today Treasury secretary Martin Parkinson at a Senate hearing has said; Australian consumers are too pessimistic about the future.
You have got that wrong Secretary Parkinson – it is the disgraceful Government that is affecting sentiment. We want an ELECTION NOW.

Oil and Climate – The Threats to Australian Fuel and Food Security

Talk by David Archibald tomorrow 15 Feb 2012 at Parliament House Canberra.
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Paper by David last month;
New report into global energy and food security by David Archibald

Colossal costs to convert Australia to 100% renewable energy – and could it work then ?

HT to Val Majkus.
The paper “Simulations of Scenarios with 100% Renewable Electricity in the Australian National Electricity Market” by Elliston et al. (2011a) (henceforth EDM-2011) has been analyzed by Engineer Peter Lang in his paper, “Renewable electricity for Australia – the cost”. Peter Lang is a retired geologist and engineer with 40 years experience on many types of energy projects throughout the world.

For the EDM-2011 baseline simulation, and using costs derived for the Federal Department of Resources, Energy and Tourism (DRET, 2011b), the costs are estimated to be: $568 billion capital cost, $336/MWh cost of electricity and $290/tonne CO2 abatement cost. That is, the wholesale cost of electricity for the simulated system would be SEVEN times more than now, with an abatement cost that is THIRTEEN times the starting price of the Australian carbon tax and THIRTY times the European carbon price. (This cost of electricity does not include costs for the existing electricity network). Peter has provided an Excel spreadsheet of calculations – which readers can use to do their own analysis.

This proposition to provide 100% Renewable Electricity for Australia is very expensive pie in the sky IMHO – typical of the GreenLeft – and on current technologies could not deliver stable grid power as we now know it.
So – if you want brown outs, black outs and more expensive electricity, Vote Green.
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– if you want to be getting up in the middle of the night when you might be able to afford to run appliances, Vote Green.
– if you will enjoy owning a portable engine driven Electricity Generator, Vote Green.
– if you will enjoy the sound and smell of portable engine driven Electricity Generators all over your suburb, Vote Green.
– if you are mechanically handy and will enjoy rigging up a household wind powered generator and like the idea of paying for that plus banks of large and heavy batteries, then paying for their upkeep and replacement, Vote Green.
– the Elliston et al plan requires an increase of wind farms by a factor of 16.8 times – so if you like the idea of that – vote Green.
Readers might suggest other reasons to vote Green.

Primarily exposing faulty methodologies behind global temperature trend compilations