The New Zealand Climate Science Coalition NZCSC had a good week with media comment on their open letter to MP’s calling for a Royal Commission into IPCC science and how it is affecting the NZ economy.
www.climatescience.org.nz/
Typical media comment was an article in the NZ Herald.
NZ Herald Online
www.nzherald.co.nz/section/story.cfm?c_id=5&objectid=10393213
Scientists want climate commission
Thursday July 27, 2006
By Errol Kiong
A group of scientists is urging the Government to form a royal commission to investigate climate change.
In an open letter to MPs, the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition believed the public was being given “incomplete, inaccurate and biased information” about the effects of greenhouse gases.
“This information is often tainted by the emotional arguments of the environmental movement and seldom stands up to objective scientific analysis,” the group said.
The coalition, which includes former MetService chief meteorologist Dr Augie Auer, wants an independent royal commission which would, among other things, examine the credibility of climate change models, and review the diplomatic implications of not aligning climate change policies with Australia and the US.
Acting chairman, energy consultant Bryan Leyland, said it was important the Government’s policies on climate change, which were being reviewed at the moment, be founded on valid scientific evidence, “rather than on the questionable projections of flawed computer models and discredited temperature assessments”.
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“Costly mistakes have already been made. Our commitments under the Kyoto Protocol may cost the nation over $1 billion more than originally estimated. We cannot afford to make such mistakes again.
“The present misinformation circulating about global warming resembles the recent hysteria surrounding genetic modification.”
He cited an example of the United States House Committee of Energy and Commerce’s “discrediting” of the Mann hockey-stick graph, which projects a rise in global temperatures. The Mann report is widely cited as evidence of global warming.
The coalition believed the Government relied too heavily on advice from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to develop its global warming policies. It quoted a recent Wall Street Journal editorial which said, “climate research often more closely resembles a mutual-admiration society than a competitive and open-minded search for scientific knowledge”.
But Niwa scientist Dr David Wratt, who is also a bureau member of the IPCC, said the IPCC’s advice comes with “amazing scientific input” from the world’s top climate scientists.
The IPCC report due next year would be a better way of getting an overall assessment of climate change science than a royal commission, he said.
Climate Change Minister David Parker rejected the proposal for a Royal Commission, saying that “by far the majority” of climate scientists in the world agreed there was no longer any doubt the climate was changing due to human activity.
“It is now a matter of how quickly it changes, not if or when.”
Even if climate change wasn’t occurring, policies would still make sense.
I have spent far too much time over the past few years following the GW and AGW debate. Whilst there is a small increase of around .44 Co that seems to be generally accepted in air temps over the last century, (and still the same from the Armagh temp series over 4 centuries!) the AGW proponents seem to base their reasoning on the premise that if the balance of inputs are not in balance with outputs, the remainder must be Anthropogenic.
The fact that solar outputs mimic terrestrial temp. variations over time periods from millenia to decadel far closer than CO2 % variations seem to be ignored.
Just because the mechanism is not fully understood should not mean that it should be ignored in modelling. Solar wind, Cosmic Ray interplay affect clouds and temps. Charge affects water vapour molecular alignment and its ability to ‘stay aloft’ Recent discoveries of TIGERS, Sprites, Blue Jets, Elves that discharge enormous energies to Earth and their influence on thunderstorms is not mentioned, nor the effect of solar wind.
When these influences, and the influence of upcoming solar cycles are taken into account I may take the ‘A’ in AWG a little more seriously, particularly as the upcoming solar cycles are diminishing, and should lead to a cooler period, perhaps offsetting the very high levels of activity of the past century, the highest for 2 millennia.